KOS
Kosmos Energy Ltd. Energy - Oil & Gas E&P Investor Relations →
Kosmos Energy Ltd. (KOS) closed at $3.20 as of 2026-05-01, trading 31.3% below its 200-week moving average of $4.66. This places KOS in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -39.9% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 78, KOS is in overbought territory.
Trading volume is running at 0.8x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.81 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 733 weeks of data, KOS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 9 times. On average, these episodes lasted 62 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -24.3%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $1898 million, KOS is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.7%. Return on equity stands at -80.9%. The stock trades at 2.9x book value.
Share count has increased 4.9% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 14.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in KOS would have grown to $30, compared to $657 for the S&P 500. KOS has returned -8.1% annualized vs 14.3% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 4 open-market purchases totaling $8,878,947. Multiple insiders purchased within a 30-day window — a cluster buy pattern that historically signals management confidence in the company's prospects. Notably, these purchases occurred while KOS is trading below its 200-week moving average — insiders are buying when the market is most pessimistic.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: KOS vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After KOS Crosses Below the Line?
Across 9 historical episodes, buying KOS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -31.4% after 12 months (median -33.0%), compared to +9.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 11% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -28.5% vs +36.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment KOS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
KOS has crossed below its 200-week MA 9 times with an average 1-year return of +-24.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2012 | Sep 2017 | 283 | 62.1% | -12.0% | -72.1% |
| Oct 2017 | Oct 2017 | 1 | 0.4% | +2.4% | -55.4% |
| Dec 2017 | May 2018 | 21 | 24.1% | -36.6% | -50.3% |
| Oct 2018 | Apr 2019 | 23 | 42.0% | -7.7% | -48.5% |
| May 2019 | Sep 2019 | 16 | 10.3% | -68.4% | -46.0% |
| Sep 2019 | Oct 2019 | 4 | 12.2% | -80.6% | -39.8% |
| Nov 2019 | Jan 2022 | 114 | 90.0% | -67.0% | -45.1% |
| Feb 2022 | Feb 2022 | 1 | 0.3% | +75.2% | -25.2% |
| Jul 2024 | Ongoing | 92+ | 82.9% | Ongoing | -34.6% |
| Average | 62 | — | +-24.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KOS below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-05-01, Kosmos Energy Ltd. (KOS) is trading 31.3% below its 200-week moving average of $4.66. The current price is $3.20.
What is KOS's 200-week moving average price?
Kosmos Energy Ltd.'s 200-week moving average is $4.66 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when KOS drops below its 200-week moving average?
KOS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 9 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -24.3%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 62 weeks on average.
Is KOS a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about KOS as of 2026-05-01: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 78 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 3.7%. Return on equity is -80.9%. Price-to-book is 2.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does KOS compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 14.1 years, $100 invested in KOS would have grown to $30, compared to $657 for the S&P 500. That's -8.1% annualized vs 14.3% for the index. KOS has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-01