KNX
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. Industrials - Trucking Investor Relations →
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (KNX) closed at $66.68 as of 2026-09-18, trading 26.2% above its 200-week moving average of $52.84. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 28.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 31, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.6x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.91 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1616 weeks of data, KNX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 31 times. On average, these episodes lasted 10 weeks. Historically, investors who bought KNX at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +19.0%.
With a market cap of $10.9 billion, KNX is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.5%. Return on equity stands at 0.6%. The stock trades at 1.6x book value.
Over the past 31 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in KNX would have grown to $4897, compared to $2230 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 13.4% vs 10.5% for the index — confirming KNX as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -10.1% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: KNX vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After KNX Crosses Below the Line?
Across 31 historical episodes, buying KNX when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +20.2% after 12 months (median +12.0%), compared to +8.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 74% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +54.9% vs +26.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment KNX crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices KNX would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where KNX's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-10-21.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $61.61 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $70.41 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $82.15 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $98.58 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $123.23 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | $0.51 | $0.63 | +22.5% |
| 2026-04-22 | $0.16 | $0.09 | -43.1% |
| 2026-01-21 | $0.35 | $0.31 | -12.6% |
| 2025-10-22 | $0.37 | $0.32 | -13.2% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from KNX's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
KNX has crossed below its 200-week MA 31 times with an average 1-year return of +19.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1995 | Nov 1995 | 7 | 4.3% | +53.0% | +4819.0% |
| Dec 1995 | Jan 1996 | 6 | 7.8% | +50.9% | +4796.6% |
| Aug 1999 | Jan 2000 | 20 | 34.2% | +21.4% | +3106.1% |
| Feb 2000 | Mar 2000 | 6 | 6.8% | +46.6% | +2620.3% |
| May 2000 | Jul 2000 | 9 | 17.4% | +73.2% | +2589.8% |
| Aug 2000 | Dec 2000 | 18 | 17.5% | +89.5% | +2521.1% |
| Oct 2007 | Apr 2008 | 28 | 12.7% | -13.0% | +467.5% |
| May 2008 | May 2008 | 1 | 0.2% | -2.8% | +407.7% |
| Jun 2008 | Jun 2008 | 1 | 0.2% | +3.3% | +405.0% |
| Sep 2008 | May 2009 | 35 | 27.7% | -2.6% | +398.2% |
| Jun 2009 | Jul 2009 | 6 | 5.7% | +30.3% | +409.4% |
| Aug 2009 | Oct 2009 | 6 | 3.9% | +17.4% | +417.0% |
| Oct 2009 | Nov 2009 | 6 | 6.3% | +8.6% | +405.4% |
| May 2011 | Jun 2011 | 4 | 2.9% | +0.8% | +398.8% |
| Jul 2011 | Jan 2012 | 26 | 19.8% | -7.4% | +390.3% |
| Apr 2012 | Jun 2012 | 6 | 2.8% | -1.1% | +382.0% |
| Jun 2012 | Mar 2013 | 37 | 13.4% | +8.4% | +390.4% |
| Apr 2013 | May 2013 | 5 | 4.7% | +48.0% | +377.2% |
| Jul 2018 | Jul 2018 | 1 | 0.9% | +15.6% | +125.6% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 4 | 6.6% | +10.5% | +125.0% |
| Nov 2018 | Nov 2018 | 1 | 2.6% | +18.2% | +127.7% |
| Dec 2018 | Feb 2019 | 10 | 26.2% | +27.2% | +150.3% |
| Mar 2019 | Mar 2019 | 1 | 3.4% | -2.4% | +129.5% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 7 | 15.4% | +20.8% | +128.7% |
| Aug 2019 | Aug 2019 | 1 | 2.7% | +46.3% | +122.8% |
| Feb 2020 | Apr 2020 | 6 | 15.0% | +36.4% | +124.2% |
| Oct 2023 | Oct 2023 | 1 | 0.1% | +11.0% | +44.7% |
| Apr 2024 | Jul 2024 | 14 | 6.9% | -17.1% | +43.2% |
| Sep 2024 | Sep 2024 | 1 | 1.1% | -12.6% | +36.8% |
| Sep 2024 | Oct 2024 | 2 | 2.1% | -15.7% | +37.4% |
| Feb 2025 | Dec 2025 | 40 | 24.6% | +26.7% | +35.4% |
| Average | 10 | — | +19.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KNX below its 200-week moving average?
No. Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (KNX) is currently 26.2% above its 200-week moving average of $52.84. It would need to fall to $52.84 to cross below the line.
What is KNX's 200-week moving average price?
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $52.84 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when KNX drops below its 200-week moving average?
KNX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 31 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +19.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 10 weeks on average.
Is KNX a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about KNX as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 31. Free cash flow yield is 4.5%. Return on equity is 0.6%. Price-to-book is 1.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does KNX compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 31 years, $100 invested in KNX would have grown to $4897, compared to $2230 for the S&P 500. That's 13.4% annualized vs 10.5% for the index. KNX has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does KNX pay a dividend?
Yes. Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 120.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18