KMI
Kinder Morgan Inc. Energy - Pipelines Investor Relations →
Kinder Morgan Inc. (KMI) closed at $31.84 as of 2026-09-18, trading 44.6% above its 200-week moving average of $22.02. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 40.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 51, indicating neutral momentum.
A big jump in activity this week — 2.3x the usual volume, and the price went up. Significantly more people than usual decided to buy. This kind of surge, especially on a stock already below its 200-week average, can be an early sign that sentiment is shifting.
Over the past 766 weeks of data, KMI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 3 times. On average, these episodes lasted 79 weeks. Historically, investors who bought KMI at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +9.0%.
With a market cap of $70.9 billion, KMI is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 1.5%. Return on equity stands at 11.0%. The stock trades at 2.2x book value.
Over the past 14.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in KMI would have grown to $202, compared to $748 for the S&P 500. KMI has returned 4.9% annualized vs 14.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 3 open-market purchases totaling $26,166,579.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -4.8% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: KMI vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After KMI Crosses Below the Line?
Across 3 historical episodes, buying KMI when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +14.0% after 12 months (median +32.0%), compared to +27.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 67% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -3.3% vs +41.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment KMI crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices KMI would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where KMI's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-10-28.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $30.03 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $30.72 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $31.45 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $32.21 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $33.01 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | $0.31 | $0.37 | +18.3% |
| 2026-04-22 | $0.39 | $0.48 | +22.1% |
| 2026-01-21 | $0.37 | $0.39 | +6.8% |
| 2025-10-22 | $0.30 | $0.29 | -2.8% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
the write-ups I read Simply Wall St · Visual company reports and write-ups. Free tier covers five reports a month. referral
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from KMI's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
KMI has crossed below its 200-week MA 3 times with an average 1-year return of +9.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2014 | Mar 2014 | 1 | 1.5% | +41.7% | +90.4% |
| Aug 2015 | Feb 2019 | 186 | 60.0% | -34.0% | +71.9% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | 51 | 30.5% | +19.4% | +214.2% |
| Average | 79 | — | +9.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KMI below its 200-week moving average?
No. Kinder Morgan Inc. (KMI) is currently 44.6% above its 200-week moving average of $22.02. It would need to fall to $22.02 to cross below the line.
What is KMI's 200-week moving average price?
Kinder Morgan Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $22.02 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when KMI drops below its 200-week moving average?
KMI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 3 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +9.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 79 weeks on average.
Is KMI a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about KMI as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 51. Free cash flow yield is 1.5%. Return on equity is 11.0%. Price-to-book is 2.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does KMI compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 14.8 years, $100 invested in KMI would have grown to $202, compared to $748 for the S&P 500. That's 4.9% annualized vs 14.6% for the index. KMI has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does KMI pay a dividend?
Yes. Kinder Morgan Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 371.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18