KMB
Kimberly-Clark Corporation Consumer Staples - Household Products Investor Relations →
Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) closed at $102.56 as of 2026-06-19, trading 11.6% below its 200-week moving average of $115.97. This places KMB in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -11.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 62, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.96 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2365 weeks of data, KMB has crossed below its 200-week moving average 22 times. On average, these episodes lasted 11 weeks. Historically, investors who bought KMB at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +22.2%.
With a market cap of $34.0 billion, KMB is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.1%. Return on equity stands at 111.7%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 18.9x book value.
KMB is a Dividend Aristocrat, having increased its dividend for 25 or more consecutive years. The current yield is 491.00%.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in KMB would have grown to $1068, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. KMB has returned 7.3% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 1 open-market purchase totaling $1,041,467. Notably, these purchases occurred while KMB is trading below its 200-week moving average — insiders are buying when the market is most pessimistic.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -4.1% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: KMB vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After KMB Crosses Below the Line?
Across 20 historical episodes, buying KMB when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +15.3% after 12 months (median +11.0%), compared to +13.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 74% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +29.9% vs +32.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment KMB crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices KMB would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where KMB's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-08-10.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $90.74 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $93.36 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $96.14 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $99.08 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $102.21 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from KMB's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
KMB has crossed below its 200-week MA 22 times with an average 1-year return of +22.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1982 | Jul 1982 | 1 | 0.4% | +46.1% | +11033.8% |
| Aug 1982 | Aug 1982 | 1 | 0.9% | +49.1% | +11082.5% |
| Nov 1994 | Nov 1994 | 1 | 3.5% | +64.7% | +1124.2% |
| Jan 1995 | Jan 1995 | 3 | 3.3% | +67.5% | +1079.1% |
| Aug 1998 | Sep 1998 | 4 | 5.4% | +49.8% | +573.2% |
| Mar 2000 | Mar 2000 | 1 | 3.0% | +52.7% | +443.3% |
| Oct 2001 | Oct 2001 | 1 | 4.2% | +11.0% | +378.4% |
| Jul 2002 | Jul 2002 | 1 | 7.0% | -2.1% | +365.0% |
| Sep 2002 | Dec 2003 | 61 | 22.9% | -4.5% | +338.6% |
| Jun 2008 | Aug 2008 | 6 | 9.1% | -8.6% | +241.0% |
| Oct 2008 | Jul 2009 | 41 | 25.9% | +9.4% | +257.2% |
| Oct 2017 | Nov 2017 | 1 | 0.2% | -1.3% | +26.7% |
| Feb 2018 | Feb 2018 | 1 | 0.4% | +7.7% | +25.0% |
| Mar 2018 | Aug 2018 | 23 | 10.4% | +7.4% | +24.5% |
| Oct 2018 | Nov 2018 | 6 | 8.1% | +30.3% | +24.2% |
| Jan 2019 | Jan 2019 | 1 | 2.9% | +36.9% | +24.2% |
| Mar 2022 | Mar 2022 | 3 | 4.4% | +6.9% | +3.0% |
| Jun 2022 | Jun 2022 | 1 | 2.1% | +17.2% | -1.5% |
| Sep 2022 | Nov 2022 | 8 | 12.7% | +6.2% | -2.6% |
| Feb 2023 | Mar 2023 | 4 | 3.8% | +0.1% | -6.6% |
| Sep 2023 | Mar 2024 | 25 | 7.1% | +19.1% | -8.3% |
| Sep 2025 | Ongoing | 39+ | 18.8% | Ongoing | -12.8% |
| Average | 11 | — | +22.2% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KMB below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) is trading 11.6% below its 200-week moving average of $115.97. The current price is $102.56.
What is KMB's 200-week moving average price?
Kimberly-Clark Corporation's 200-week moving average is $115.97 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when KMB drops below its 200-week moving average?
KMB has crossed below its 200-week moving average 22 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +22.2%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 11 weeks on average.
Is KMB a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about KMB as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 62. Free cash flow yield is 3.1%. Return on equity is 111.7%. Price-to-book is 18.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does KMB compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in KMB would have grown to $1068, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 7.3% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. KMB has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does KMB pay a dividend?
Yes. Kimberly-Clark Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 491.00%. It is also a Dividend Aristocrat, meaning it has raised its dividend for 25 or more consecutive years.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19