KIM
Kimco Realty Corporation Real Estate - REIT - Retail Investor Relations →
Kimco Realty Corporation (KIM) closed at $22.53 as of 2026-09-18, trading 16.0% above its 200-week moving average of $19.43. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 19.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 32, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.7x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.09 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1769 weeks of data, KIM has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times. On average, these episodes lasted 31 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -9.1%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $15.1 billion, KIM is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.8%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 5.8%. The stock trades at 1.5x book value.
Share count has increased 9.0% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in KIM would have grown to $1706, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. KIM has returned 8.8% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 9.2% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: KIM vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After KIM Crosses Below the Line?
Across 11 historical episodes, buying KIM when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -10.1% after 12 months (median +6.0%), compared to +10.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 55% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +3.9% vs +30.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment KIM crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices KIM would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where KIM's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-10-29.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $22.44 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $23.94 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $25.66 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $27.63 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $29.95 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | $0.20 | $0.22 | +13.5% |
| 2026-04-30 | $0.20 | $0.21 | +7.5% |
| 2026-02-12 | $0.19 | $0.19 | -3.8% |
| 2025-10-30 | $0.19 | $0.19 | -2.6% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from KIM's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
KIM has crossed below its 200-week MA 11 times with an average 1-year return of +-9.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2008 | Jan 2008 | 2 | 6.0% | -41.8% | +71.4% |
| Jul 2008 | Jul 2008 | 1 | 4.3% | -70.7% | +67.5% |
| Sep 2008 | Jul 2011 | 144 | 78.7% | -58.7% | +72.2% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 12 | 16.4% | +29.4% | +182.8% |
| Nov 2011 | Jan 2012 | 9 | 13.5% | +21.1% | +175.8% |
| Mar 2017 | Jul 2019 | 124 | 37.6% | -29.2% | +68.7% |
| Aug 2019 | Sep 2019 | 2 | 2.2% | -33.4% | +71.5% |
| Feb 2020 | Dec 2020 | 44 | 54.5% | +10.9% | +74.6% |
| Mar 2023 | Mar 2023 | 1 | 0.2% | +12.7% | +50.7% |
| Sep 2023 | Oct 2023 | 5 | 6.2% | +37.4% | +47.7% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 1 | 0.5% | +22.6% | +25.0% |
| Average | 31 | — | +-9.1% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KIM below its 200-week moving average?
No. Kimco Realty Corporation (KIM) is currently 16.0% above its 200-week moving average of $19.43. It would need to fall to $19.43 to cross below the line.
What is KIM's 200-week moving average price?
Kimco Realty Corporation's 200-week moving average is $19.43 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when KIM drops below its 200-week moving average?
KIM has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -9.1%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 31 weeks on average.
Is KIM a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about KIM as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 32. Free cash flow yield is 5.8%. Return on equity is 5.8%. Price-to-book is 1.5x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does KIM compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.8 years, $100 invested in KIM would have grown to $1706, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. That's 8.8% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. KIM has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does KIM pay a dividend?
Yes. Kimco Realty Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 497.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18