KFRC
Kforce Inc. Industrials - Staffing & Employment Services Investor Relations →
Kforce Inc. (KFRC) closed at $56.77 as of 2026-07-31, trading 16.6% above its 200-week moving average of $48.68. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 13.3% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 75, KFRC is in overbought territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.6x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.38 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1567 weeks of data, KFRC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times. On average, these episodes lasted 27 weeks. Historically, investors who bought KFRC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +26.8%.
With a market cap of $1017 million, KFRC is a small-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 28.3%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 7.8x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 10.5% over the past three years.
Over the past 30.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in KFRC would have grown to $601, compared to $1953 for the S&P 500. KFRC has returned 6.1% annualized vs 10.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -17.3% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: KFRC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After KFRC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 19 historical episodes, buying KFRC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +28.2% after 12 months (median +20.0%), compared to +20.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 68% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +48.7% vs +34.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment KFRC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices KFRC would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where KFRC's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $22.98 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $27.30 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $33.61 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $43.71 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $62.50 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from KFRC's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
KFRC has crossed below its 200-week MA 19 times with an average 1-year return of +26.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1997 | Apr 1997 | 2 | 9.1% | +171.9% | +764.8% |
| Oct 1998 | Oct 1998 | 1 | 11.7% | -44.9% | +512.6% |
| Nov 1998 | Nov 1998 | 1 | 0.1% | -30.2% | +440.1% |
| Feb 1999 | Jul 2003 | 234 | 83.5% | -0.4% | +453.6% |
| Nov 2007 | Aug 2009 | 91 | 50.2% | -41.3% | +616.6% |
| Sep 2009 | Oct 2009 | 3 | 0.7% | +19.6% | +638.4% |
| Aug 2010 | Aug 2010 | 1 | 5.7% | -7.3% | +672.1% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 10 | 23.6% | +24.2% | +831.3% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 1 | 12.0% | +22.0% | +707.6% |
| Dec 2011 | Dec 2011 | 1 | 4.5% | +27.2% | +641.0% |
| Jul 2012 | Nov 2012 | 18 | 11.2% | +37.5% | +588.6% |
| Feb 2016 | Mar 2016 | 7 | 16.0% | +60.1% | +371.0% |
| May 2016 | Aug 2016 | 16 | 10.2% | +17.5% | +302.7% |
| Sep 2016 | Sep 2016 | 2 | 3.8% | -1.3% | +286.5% |
| Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | 5 | 15.7% | +5.8% | +269.3% |
| May 2017 | Oct 2017 | 24 | 14.2% | +75.7% | +275.2% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 6 | 11.2% | +102.2% | +143.8% |
| Jun 2020 | Jul 2020 | 6 | 5.3% | +116.0% | +139.8% |
| Sep 2024 | Jun 2026 | 90 | 53.8% | -45.3% | +7.0% |
| Average | 27 | — | +26.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KFRC below its 200-week moving average?
No. Kforce Inc. (KFRC) is currently 16.6% above its 200-week moving average of $48.68. It would need to fall to $48.68 to cross below the line.
What is KFRC's 200-week moving average price?
Kforce Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $48.68 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when KFRC drops below its 200-week moving average?
KFRC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +26.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 27 weeks on average.
Is KFRC a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about KFRC as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 75 (overbought). Return on equity is 28.3%. Price-to-book is 7.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does KFRC compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 30.1 years, $100 invested in KFRC would have grown to $601, compared to $1953 for the S&P 500. That's 6.1% annualized vs 10.4% for the index. KFRC has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does KFRC pay a dividend?
Yes. Kforce Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 280.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31