KEY
KeyCorp Financial Services - Banking Investor Relations →
KeyCorp (KEY) closed at $21.87 as of 2026-05-01, trading 48.2% above its 200-week moving average of $14.76. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 46.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 55, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.6x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.95 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1960 weeks of data, KEY has crossed below its 200-week moving average 26 times. On average, these episodes lasted 20 weeks. Historically, investors who bought KEY at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +25.2%.
With a market cap of $23.8 billion, KEY is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 10.0%. The stock trades at 1.4x book value.
Share count has increased 18.1% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in KEY would have grown to $433, compared to $2973 for the S&P 500. KEY has returned 4.5% annualized vs 10.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -21.6% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: KEY vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After KEY Crosses Below the Line?
Across 23 historical episodes, buying KEY when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +19.5% after 12 months (median +21.0%), compared to +11.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 74% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +34.3% vs +24.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment KEY crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
KEY has crossed below its 200-week MA 26 times with an average 1-year return of +25.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1988 | Jan 1989 | 10 | 4.6% | +41.3% | +1469.4% |
| Aug 1990 | Nov 1990 | 14 | 12.1% | +96.6% | +1275.7% |
| Jan 1991 | Jan 1991 | 1 | 0.9% | +104.5% | +1217.7% |
| Nov 1994 | Jan 1995 | 10 | 5.0% | +49.1% | +435.4% |
| Sep 1999 | Oct 1999 | 5 | 12.0% | -4.6% | +118.7% |
| Nov 1999 | Dec 2000 | 55 | 40.4% | -11.2% | +111.6% |
| Feb 2001 | Feb 2001 | 1 | 3.8% | +0.1% | +109.6% |
| Mar 2001 | Jul 2001 | 17 | 12.1% | +11.5% | +106.1% |
| Aug 2001 | Jan 2002 | 20 | 18.0% | +12.1% | +104.9% |
| Feb 2002 | Feb 2002 | 3 | 4.6% | +5.8% | +117.6% |
| Jul 2002 | Jul 2002 | 1 | 5.1% | +23.3% | +122.4% |
| Sep 2002 | Oct 2002 | 1 | 2.7% | +20.9% | +117.1% |
| Oct 2007 | Mar 2012 | 229 | 79.4% | -62.5% | +39.6% |
| May 2012 | Jun 2012 | 5 | 5.9% | +49.3% | +385.3% |
| Jan 2016 | Apr 2016 | 12 | 9.3% | +61.9% | +194.0% |
| May 2016 | May 2016 | 1 | 0.8% | +59.7% | +183.2% |
| Jun 2016 | Aug 2016 | 7 | 7.4% | +63.1% | +182.5% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 4 | 8.2% | +38.2% | +104.0% |
| Mar 2019 | Mar 2019 | 1 | 4.3% | -35.9% | +104.2% |
| Feb 2020 | Nov 2020 | 39 | 45.0% | +29.9% | +81.2% |
| Dec 2020 | Dec 2020 | 1 | 2.5% | +51.1% | +82.2% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 4 | 4.4% | -31.3% | +60.6% |
| Dec 2022 | Dec 2022 | 1 | 1.1% | -7.8% | +57.0% |
| Mar 2023 | Jul 2024 | 71 | 46.1% | +2.3% | +64.8% |
| Jul 2024 | Aug 2024 | 2 | 6.1% | +28.2% | +63.9% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 4 | 11.3% | +58.9% | +69.8% |
| Average | 20 | — | +25.2% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KEY below its 200-week moving average?
No. KeyCorp (KEY) is currently 48.2% above its 200-week moving average of $14.76. It would need to fall to $14.76 to cross below the line.
What is KEY's 200-week moving average price?
KeyCorp's 200-week moving average is $14.76 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when KEY drops below its 200-week moving average?
KEY has crossed below its 200-week moving average 26 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +25.2%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 20 weeks on average.
Is KEY a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about KEY as of 2026-05-01: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 55. Return on equity is 10.0%. Price-to-book is 1.4x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does KEY compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.3 years, $100 invested in KEY would have grown to $433, compared to $2973 for the S&P 500. That's 4.5% annualized vs 10.7% for the index. KEY has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does KEY pay a dividend?
Yes. KeyCorp currently pays a dividend yield of 375.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-01