KEY
KeyCorp Financial Services - Banking Investor Relations →
KeyCorp (KEY) closed at $23.21 as of 2026-02-02, trading 59.1% above its 200-week moving average of $14.59. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 47.9% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 90, KEY is in overbought territory.
Over the past 1948 weeks of data, KEY has crossed below its 200-week moving average 26 times. On average, these episodes lasted 20 weeks. Historically, investors who bought KEY at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +23.8%.
With a market cap of $25.6 billion, KEY is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 9.5%. The stock trades at 1.4x book value.
Share count has increased 19.2% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in KEY would have grown to $455, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. KEY has returned 4.7% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -18% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: KEY vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After KEY Crosses Below the Line?
Across 23 historical episodes, buying KEY when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +17.7% after 12 months (median +21.0%), compared to +11.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 73% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +34.3% vs +24.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment KEY crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
KEY has crossed below its 200-week MA 26 times with an average 1-year return of +23.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1988 | Jan 1989 | 10 | 4.6% | +41.3% | +1549.2% |
| Aug 1990 | Nov 1990 | 14 | 12.1% | +96.6% | +1345.7% |
| Jan 1991 | Jan 1991 | 1 | 0.9% | +104.5% | +1284.7% |
| Nov 1994 | Jan 1995 | 10 | 5.0% | +49.1% | +462.6% |
| Sep 1999 | Oct 1999 | 5 | 12.0% | -4.6% | +129.8% |
| Nov 1999 | Dec 2000 | 55 | 40.4% | -11.2% | +122.3% |
| Feb 2001 | Feb 2001 | 1 | 3.8% | +0.1% | +120.2% |
| Mar 2001 | Jul 2001 | 17 | 12.1% | +11.5% | +116.6% |
| Aug 2001 | Jan 2002 | 20 | 18.0% | +12.1% | +115.3% |
| Feb 2002 | Feb 2002 | 3 | 4.6% | +5.8% | +128.7% |
| Jul 2002 | Jul 2002 | 1 | 5.1% | +23.3% | +133.7% |
| Sep 2002 | Oct 2002 | 1 | 2.7% | +20.9% | +128.1% |
| Oct 2007 | Mar 2012 | 229 | 79.4% | -62.5% | +46.7% |
| May 2012 | Jun 2012 | 5 | 5.9% | +49.3% | +410.0% |
| Jan 2016 | Apr 2016 | 12 | 9.3% | +61.9% | +209.0% |
| May 2016 | May 2016 | 1 | 0.8% | +59.7% | +197.6% |
| Jun 2016 | Aug 2016 | 7 | 7.4% | +63.1% | +196.9% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 4 | 8.2% | +38.2% | +114.4% |
| Mar 2019 | Mar 2019 | 1 | 4.3% | -35.9% | +114.6% |
| Feb 2020 | Nov 2020 | 39 | 45.0% | +29.9% | +90.4% |
| Dec 2020 | Dec 2020 | 1 | 2.5% | +51.1% | +91.4% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 4 | 4.4% | -31.3% | +68.8% |
| Dec 2022 | Dec 2022 | 1 | 1.1% | -7.8% | +65.0% |
| Mar 2023 | Jul 2024 | 71 | 46.1% | +2.3% | +73.1% |
| Jul 2024 | Aug 2024 | 2 | 6.1% | +28.2% | +72.3% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 4 | 11.3% | N/A | +78.4% |
| Average | 20 | — | +23.8% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02