KDP
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. Consumer Staples - Beverages Investor Relations →
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) closed at $29.09 as of 2026-05-01, trading 5.8% below its 200-week moving average of $30.87. This places KDP in the deep value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -5.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 56, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.20 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 890 weeks of data, KDP has crossed below its 200-week moving average 9 times. On average, these episodes lasted 10 weeks. Historically, investors who bought KDP at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +107.0%.
With a market cap of $39.6 billion, KDP is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 6.3%. The stock trades at 1.6x book value.
Over the past 17.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in KDP would have grown to $1358, compared to $1116 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 16.5% vs 15.2% for the index — confirming KDP as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -15.4% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: KDP vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After KDP Crosses Below the Line?
Across 9 historical episodes, buying KDP when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +14.3% after 12 months (median +12.0%), compared to +26.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 71% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +19.0% vs +47.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment KDP crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
KDP has crossed below its 200-week MA 9 times with an average 1-year return of +107.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2009 | Apr 2009 | 2 | 5.5% | +71.3% | +1272.4% |
| Jul 2018 | Jul 2018 | 1 | 72.0% | +653.0% | +800.3% |
| May 2023 | Jul 2023 | 8 | 2.1% | +11.8% | +1.0% |
| Sep 2023 | Nov 2023 | 8 | 12.0% | +21.7% | -0.2% |
| Dec 2023 | Dec 2023 | 2 | 0.6% | +4.6% | -2.5% |
| Jan 2024 | Apr 2024 | 16 | 11.0% | +1.3% | -2.1% |
| Oct 2024 | Feb 2025 | 16 | 7.8% | -14.7% | -7.1% |
| Jun 2025 | Jun 2025 | 1 | 0.1% | N/A | -8.3% |
| Aug 2025 | Ongoing | 36+ | 21.7% | Ongoing | +2.6% |
| Average | 10 | — | +107.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KDP below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-05-01, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) is trading 5.8% below its 200-week moving average of $30.87. The current price is $29.09.
What is KDP's 200-week moving average price?
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $30.87 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when KDP drops below its 200-week moving average?
KDP has crossed below its 200-week moving average 9 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +107.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 10 weeks on average.
Is KDP a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about KDP as of 2026-05-01: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 56. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 6.3%. Price-to-book is 1.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does KDP compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 17.1 years, $100 invested in KDP would have grown to $1358, compared to $1116 for the S&P 500. That's 16.5% annualized vs 15.2% for the index. KDP has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does KDP pay a dividend?
Yes. Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 316.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-01