KDP
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. Consumer Staples - Beverages Investor Relations →
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) closed at $28.41 as of 2026-02-02, trading 9.6% below its 200-week moving average of $31.42. This places KDP in the deep value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -12.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 58, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 878 weeks of data, KDP has crossed below its 200-week moving average 9 times. On average, these episodes lasted 9 weeks. Historically, investors who bought KDP at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +107.0%.
With a market cap of $38.6 billion, KDP is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.6%. Return on equity stands at 6.3%. The stock trades at 1.5x book value.
Over the past 16.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in KDP would have grown to $1314, compared to $1070 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 16.4% vs 15.0% for the index — confirming KDP as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: KDP vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After KDP Crosses Below the Line?
Across 9 historical episodes, buying KDP when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +14.3% after 12 months (median +12.0%), compared to +26.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 71% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +19.0% vs +47.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment KDP crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
KDP has crossed below its 200-week MA 9 times with an average 1-year return of +107.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2009 | Apr 2009 | 2 | 5.5% | +71.3% | +1228.5% |
| Jul 2018 | Jul 2018 | 1 | 72.0% | +653.0% | +771.5% |
| May 2023 | Jul 2023 | 8 | 2.1% | +11.8% | -2.3% |
| Sep 2023 | Nov 2023 | 8 | 12.0% | +21.7% | -3.4% |
| Dec 2023 | Dec 2023 | 2 | 0.6% | +4.6% | -5.6% |
| Jan 2024 | Apr 2024 | 16 | 11.0% | +1.3% | -5.2% |
| Oct 2024 | Feb 2025 | 16 | 7.8% | -14.7% | -10.1% |
| Jun 2025 | Jun 2025 | 1 | 0.1% | N/A | -11.2% |
| Aug 2025 | Ongoing | 24+ | 21.7% | Ongoing | -0.6% |
| Average | 9 | — | +107.0% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02