KBH

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NO
16.0% ABOVE
↑ Moving away Was 9.4% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $52.55
14-Week RSI 48

KB Home (KBH) closed at $60.94 as of 2026-02-02, trading 16.0% above its 200-week moving average of $52.55. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 9.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 48, indicating neutral momentum.

Over the past 2014 weeks of data, KBH has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times. On average, these episodes lasted 29 weeks. Historically, investors who bought KBH at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +37.2%.

With a market cap of $3.9 billion, KBH is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.1%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 10.8%. The stock trades at 1.0x book value.

The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 24.8% over the past three years.

Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in KBH would have grown to $1132, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. KBH has returned 7.6% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.

Growth of $100: KBH vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After KBH Crosses Below the Line?

Across 20 historical episodes, buying KBH when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +43.1% after 12 months (median +46.0%), compared to +13.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 83% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +64.9% vs +21.5% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment KBH crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

KBH has crossed below its 200-week MA 24 times with an average 1-year return of +37.2% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Jul 1987Aug 198749.6%+2.3%+2670.0%
Aug 1987Jun 19884233.9%-17.5%+2512.1%
Jul 1988Nov 19882017.8%+140.7%+2836.7%
Jul 1990Jan 19912443.3%+20.0%+1990.6%
Aug 1991Aug 199124.1%+45.7%+1913.6%
Sep 1991Sep 199116.2%+22.5%+1939.0%
Aug 1992Oct 199288.8%+76.0%+1547.6%
Jun 1994Jan 19968531.0%-3.7%+1159.9%
Apr 1996May 19975924.0%-8.0%+1144.2%
Sep 1999Sep 199927.0%+38.9%+800.7%
Oct 1999Oct 199918.3%+44.1%+859.3%
Feb 2000Mar 2000612.6%+54.0%+761.9%
Apr 2000Aug 20001718.9%+44.1%+789.0%
Jul 2006Nov 20061811.4%-4.2%+104.5%
Mar 2007Sep 201228680.8%-47.2%+77.1%
Jan 2015Mar 2015913.8%-16.7%+452.6%
Aug 2015Jul 20164534.9%+9.1%+376.5%
Jul 2016Dec 20161910.1%+47.6%+335.3%
Dec 2016Jan 201710.5%+103.0%+330.9%
Nov 2018Nov 201811.0%+81.7%+256.0%
Dec 2018Dec 201822.8%+81.9%+259.4%
Mar 2020Apr 2020749.5%+93.8%+190.6%
Apr 2022Apr 202234.0%+26.1%+109.4%
Jun 2022Jan 20233021.6%+59.0%+107.3%
Average29+37.2%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02