KALU
Kaiser Aluminum Corporation Basic Materials - Aluminum Investor Relations →
Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU) closed at $173.72 as of 2026-05-01, trading 128.2% above its 200-week moving average of $76.14. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 134.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 68, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.94 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 986 weeks of data, KALU has crossed below its 200-week moving average 15 times. On average, these episodes lasted 21 weeks. Historically, investors who bought KALU at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +0.6%.
With a market cap of $2.8 billion, KALU is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 18.8%, a solid level. The stock trades at 3.2x book value.
Over the past 18.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in KALU would have grown to $395, compared to $679 for the S&P 500. KALU has returned 7.5% annualized vs 10.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: KALU vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After KALU Crosses Below the Line?
Across 15 historical episodes, buying KALU when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +5.3% after 12 months (median -2.0%), compared to +11.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 47% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +11.1% vs +29.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment KALU crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
KALU has crossed below its 200-week MA 15 times with an average 1-year return of +0.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2007 | Aug 2007 | 2 | 4.5% | -13.2% | +375.8% |
| Jan 2008 | Jan 2008 | 2 | 2.8% | -60.8% | +356.1% |
| May 2008 | Nov 2010 | 130 | 73.2% | -52.1% | +352.0% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 1 | 1.9% | +52.3% | +548.2% |
| Oct 2016 | Oct 2016 | 2 | 1.1% | +43.3% | +230.7% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 1 | 2.0% | +34.7% | +165.0% |
| Aug 2019 | Sep 2019 | 2 | 3.1% | -23.4% | +155.9% |
| Mar 2020 | Nov 2020 | 39 | 43.1% | +32.8% | +143.4% |
| Jan 2021 | Feb 2021 | 1 | 1.6% | +13.3% | +142.2% |
| Mar 2022 | Mar 2022 | 2 | 5.7% | -15.1% | +134.4% |
| Apr 2022 | Apr 2022 | 1 | 3.9% | -17.2% | +130.2% |
| Jun 2022 | Nov 2022 | 22 | 31.2% | -22.7% | +122.7% |
| Dec 2022 | Mar 2024 | 67 | 33.9% | -22.0% | +147.3% |
| Jul 2024 | Nov 2024 | 15 | 16.5% | +11.3% | +139.7% |
| Dec 2024 | Jun 2025 | 25 | 33.7% | +48.5% | +139.6% |
| Average | 21 | — | +0.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KALU below its 200-week moving average?
No. Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU) is currently 128.2% above its 200-week moving average of $76.14. It would need to fall to $76.14 to cross below the line.
What is KALU's 200-week moving average price?
Kaiser Aluminum Corporation's 200-week moving average is $76.14 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when KALU drops below its 200-week moving average?
KALU has crossed below its 200-week moving average 15 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +0.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 21 weeks on average.
Is KALU a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about KALU as of 2026-05-01: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 68. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 18.8%. Price-to-book is 3.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does KALU compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 18.9 years, $100 invested in KALU would have grown to $395, compared to $679 for the S&P 500. That's 7.5% annualized vs 10.7% for the index. KALU has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does KALU pay a dividend?
Yes. Kaiser Aluminum Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 177.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-01