KALU
Kaiser Aluminum Corporation Basic Materials - Aluminum Investor Relations →
Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU) closed at $107.04 as of 2026-03-20, trading 44.0% above its 200-week moving average of $74.33. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 58.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 49, indicating neutral momentum.
A big spike in selling this week — 2.2x the usual volume, and the price dropped. Sometimes this kind of heavy selling marks the end of a decline. The idea is that the last reluctant holders have finally sold, leaving fewer sellers left to push the price lower.
Over the past 980 weeks of data, KALU has crossed below its 200-week moving average 15 times. On average, these episodes lasted 21 weeks. Historically, investors who bought KALU at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +0.6%.
With a market cap of $1735 million, KALU is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 14.3%. The stock trades at 2.1x book value.
Over the past 18.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in KALU would have grown to $242, compared to $612 for the S&P 500. KALU has returned 4.8% annualized vs 10.1% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: KALU vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After KALU Crosses Below the Line?
Across 15 historical episodes, buying KALU when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +5.3% after 12 months (median -2.0%), compared to +11.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 47% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +11.1% vs +29.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment KALU crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
KALU has crossed below its 200-week MA 15 times with an average 1-year return of +0.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2007 | Aug 2007 | 2 | 4.5% | -13.2% | +191.8% |
| Jan 2008 | Jan 2008 | 2 | 2.8% | -60.8% | +179.7% |
| May 2008 | Nov 2010 | 130 | 73.2% | -52.1% | +177.2% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 1 | 1.9% | +52.3% | +297.6% |
| Oct 2016 | Oct 2016 | 2 | 1.1% | +43.3% | +102.8% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 1 | 2.0% | +34.7% | +62.5% |
| Aug 2019 | Sep 2019 | 2 | 3.1% | -23.4% | +56.9% |
| Mar 2020 | Nov 2020 | 39 | 43.1% | +32.8% | +49.3% |
| Jan 2021 | Feb 2021 | 1 | 1.6% | +13.3% | +48.5% |
| Mar 2022 | Mar 2022 | 2 | 5.7% | -15.1% | +43.7% |
| Apr 2022 | Apr 2022 | 1 | 3.9% | -17.2% | +41.2% |
| Jun 2022 | Nov 2022 | 22 | 31.2% | -22.7% | +36.6% |
| Dec 2022 | Mar 2024 | 67 | 33.9% | -22.0% | +51.7% |
| Jul 2024 | Nov 2024 | 15 | 16.5% | +11.3% | +47.0% |
| Dec 2024 | Jun 2025 | 25 | 33.7% | +48.5% | +47.0% |
| Average | 21 | — | +0.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KALU below its 200-week moving average?
No. Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU) is currently 44.0% above its 200-week moving average of $74.33. It would need to fall to $74.33 to cross below the line.
What is KALU's 200-week moving average price?
Kaiser Aluminum Corporation's 200-week moving average is $74.33 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when KALU drops below its 200-week moving average?
KALU has crossed below its 200-week moving average 15 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +0.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 21 weeks on average.
Is KALU a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about KALU as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 49. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 14.3%. Price-to-book is 2.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does KALU compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 18.8 years, $100 invested in KALU would have grown to $242, compared to $612 for the S&P 500. That's 4.8% annualized vs 10.1% for the index. KALU has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does KALU pay a dividend?
Yes. Kaiser Aluminum Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 288.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20