KALU
Kaiser Aluminum Corporation Basic Materials - Aluminum Investor Relations →
Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU) closed at $138.51 as of 2026-02-02, trading 89.5% above its 200-week moving average of $73.09. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 68.5% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 87, KALU is in overbought territory.
Over the past 974 weeks of data, KALU has crossed below its 200-week moving average 15 times. On average, these episodes lasted 21 weeks. Historically, investors who bought KALU at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +0.6%.
With a market cap of $2.2 billion, KALU is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 11.6%. The stock trades at 2.8x book value.
Over the past 18.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in KALU would have grown to $313, compared to $650 for the S&P 500. KALU has returned 6.3% annualized vs 10.5% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: KALU vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After KALU Crosses Below the Line?
Across 15 historical episodes, buying KALU when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +5.3% after 12 months (median -2.0%), compared to +11.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 47% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +11.1% vs +29.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment KALU crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
KALU has crossed below its 200-week MA 15 times with an average 1-year return of +0.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2007 | Aug 2007 | 2 | 4.5% | -13.2% | +277.6% |
| Jan 2008 | Jan 2008 | 2 | 2.8% | -60.8% | +261.9% |
| May 2008 | Nov 2010 | 130 | 73.2% | -52.1% | +258.7% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 1 | 1.9% | +52.3% | +414.4% |
| Oct 2016 | Oct 2016 | 2 | 1.1% | +43.3% | +162.4% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 1 | 2.0% | +34.7% | +110.3% |
| Aug 2019 | Sep 2019 | 2 | 3.1% | -23.4% | +103.1% |
| Mar 2020 | Nov 2020 | 39 | 43.1% | +32.8% | +93.1% |
| Jan 2021 | Feb 2021 | 1 | 1.6% | +13.3% | +92.2% |
| Mar 2022 | Mar 2022 | 2 | 5.7% | -15.1% | +86.0% |
| Apr 2022 | Apr 2022 | 1 | 3.9% | -17.2% | +82.7% |
| Jun 2022 | Nov 2022 | 22 | 31.2% | -22.7% | +76.8% |
| Dec 2022 | Mar 2024 | 67 | 33.9% | -22.0% | +96.2% |
| Jul 2024 | Nov 2024 | 15 | 16.5% | +11.3% | +90.2% |
| Dec 2024 | Jun 2025 | 25 | 33.7% | +48.5% | +90.2% |
| Average | 21 | — | +0.6% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02