K
Kellanova Consumer Staples - Food Investor Relations →
Kellanova (K) closed at $83.44 as of 2025-12-08, trading 29.7% above its 200-week moving average of $64.35. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 28.6% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 74, K is in overbought territory.
Over the past 2731 weeks of data, K has crossed below its 200-week moving average 33 times. On average, these episodes lasted 15 weeks. Historically, investors who bought K at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +11.3%.
With a market cap of $29.0 billion, K is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 1.7%. Return on equity stands at 32.1%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 6.9x book value.
Over the past 33 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in K would have grown to $810, compared to $2805 for the S&P 500. K has returned 6.5% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: K vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After K Crosses Below the Line?
Across 25 historical episodes, buying K when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +10.8% after 12 months (median +9.0%), compared to +14.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 68% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +16.5% vs +28.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment K crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
K has crossed below its 200-week MA 33 times with an average 1-year return of +11.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1973 | Aug 1973 | 2 | 3.5% | -7.1% | +16012.5% |
| Sep 1973 | Oct 1973 | 1 | 0.2% | -18.1% | +15456.9% |
| Nov 1973 | Dec 1973 | 1 | 2.4% | -7.0% | +15729.3% |
| Jun 1974 | Dec 1974 | 27 | 24.6% | +17.1% | +15323.3% |
| Aug 1978 | Jan 1981 | 129 | 33.3% | -3.0% | +10577.8% |
| Feb 1981 | Feb 1981 | 2 | 0.8% | +13.9% | +11016.5% |
| Apr 1981 | Jun 1981 | 5 | 6.3% | +26.8% | +11626.8% |
| Jul 1981 | Oct 1981 | 15 | 15.2% | +26.6% | +12071.9% |
| Feb 1994 | May 1994 | 12 | 4.7% | +16.4% | +894.1% |
| Jul 1994 | Aug 1994 | 2 | 2.1% | +44.8% | +834.8% |
| Jan 1995 | Feb 1995 | 1 | 0.3% | +43.1% | +779.8% |
| Feb 1995 | Feb 1995 | 1 | 0.2% | +47.6% | +775.8% |
| Jul 1998 | Jan 1999 | 23 | 16.6% | +7.8% | +556.3% |
| Mar 1999 | Apr 1999 | 4 | 6.4% | -25.7% | +525.6% |
| May 1999 | Aug 1999 | 15 | 10.6% | -18.0% | +504.6% |
| Nov 1999 | Aug 2001 | 93 | 40.5% | -21.9% | +494.9% |
| Sep 2001 | Oct 2001 | 5 | 4.1% | +16.3% | +570.8% |
| Nov 2001 | Dec 2001 | 2 | 0.5% | +21.4% | +556.4% |
| Nov 2008 | Jun 2009 | 31 | 21.2% | +27.8% | +273.2% |
| Aug 2009 | Aug 2009 | 1 | 0.2% | +13.4% | +239.5% |
| Aug 2017 | Sep 2017 | 1 | 0.2% | +13.6% | +85.0% |
| Sep 2017 | Nov 2017 | 10 | 7.8% | +19.5% | +89.4% |
| Dec 2017 | Dec 2017 | 1 | 0.3% | -3.8% | +83.1% |
| Jan 2018 | Jan 2018 | 1 | 1.2% | -6.2% | +83.9% |
| Jan 2018 | Feb 2018 | 1 | 0.3% | -7.1% | +81.8% |
| Mar 2018 | Jun 2018 | 12 | 8.6% | -6.5% | +87.4% |
| Oct 2018 | Sep 2019 | 46 | 18.9% | +5.3% | +84.0% |
| Sep 2019 | Oct 2019 | 4 | 4.0% | +6.9% | +77.1% |
| Feb 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 | 3.9% | -0.9% | +82.3% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 2 | 10.3% | +13.2% | +95.5% |
| Jan 2021 | Mar 2021 | 8 | 4.4% | +19.0% | +79.8% |
| Aug 2023 | Mar 2024 | 31 | 13.3% | +46.2% | +57.8% |
| Apr 2024 | Apr 2024 | 1 | 2.0% | +53.1% | +58.5% |
| Average | 15 | — | +11.3% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2025-12-08