JOE
The St. Joe Company Real Estate - Real Estate - Diversified Investor Relations →
The St. Joe Company (JOE) closed at $68.56 as of 2026-02-02, trading 40.1% above its 200-week moving average of $48.93. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 35.5% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 73, JOE is in overbought territory.
Over the past 1824 weeks of data, JOE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 31 times. On average, these episodes lasted 22 weeks. Historically, investors who bought JOE at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +18.9%.
With a market cap of $4.0 billion, JOE is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.6%. Return on equity stands at 14.0%. The stock trades at 5.2x book value.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in JOE would have grown to $1048, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. JOE has returned 7.3% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: JOE vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After JOE Crosses Below the Line?
Across 31 historical episodes, buying JOE when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +17.7% after 12 months (median +8.0%), compared to +14.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 69% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +39.2% vs +24.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment JOE crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
JOE has crossed below its 200-week MA 31 times with an average 1-year return of +18.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1991 | Apr 1991 | 5 | 9.4% | +11.9% | +1113.0% |
| May 1991 | May 1991 | 1 | 0.8% | +13.1% | +1122.1% |
| Aug 1991 | Oct 1991 | 11 | 6.0% | +8.3% | +1148.5% |
| Nov 1991 | Feb 1992 | 12 | 13.3% | +15.8% | +1161.0% |
| Aug 1992 | Aug 1992 | 1 | 0.4% | +51.1% | +1095.2% |
| Sep 1992 | Oct 1992 | 1 | 0.1% | +37.6% | +1089.2% |
| Aug 1998 | Oct 1998 | 9 | 15.9% | +10.4% | +431.3% |
| Jan 1999 | Mar 1999 | 7 | 7.4% | +3.1% | +407.0% |
| Aug 1999 | Mar 2000 | 28 | 15.1% | +23.1% | +381.4% |
| Oct 2000 | Oct 2000 | 1 | 29.2% | +105.1% | +510.7% |
| May 2006 | Aug 2006 | 13 | 7.4% | +11.1% | +57.0% |
| May 2007 | Dec 2012 | 292 | 68.9% | -26.7% | +39.8% |
| Feb 2013 | Jul 2013 | 20 | 14.2% | -18.7% | +219.0% |
| Aug 2013 | May 2014 | 40 | 17.8% | +1.8% | +230.4% |
| Sep 2014 | Sep 2015 | 52 | 20.7% | +0.9% | +273.9% |
| Nov 2015 | Nov 2015 | 1 | 2.4% | -0.1% | +282.4% |
| Nov 2015 | Nov 2016 | 50 | 23.3% | +6.0% | +276.4% |
| Jan 2017 | Jun 2017 | 24 | 11.1% | -1.1% | +289.9% |
| Jul 2017 | Aug 2017 | 2 | 2.1% | -4.7% | +299.6% |
| Sep 2017 | Sep 2017 | 2 | 1.8% | -8.2% | +292.0% |
| Oct 2017 | Nov 2017 | 3 | 2.4% | -16.1% | +296.3% |
| Dec 2017 | Feb 2018 | 10 | 2.4% | -27.4% | +294.2% |
| Apr 2018 | Jul 2018 | 12 | 6.5% | -2.2% | +298.5% |
| Jul 2018 | Jul 2018 | 1 | 4.1% | +8.0% | +319.4% |
| Aug 2018 | Jul 2019 | 46 | 25.7% | -1.4% | +305.3% |
| Aug 2019 | Aug 2019 | 3 | 1.4% | +26.2% | +315.8% |
| Sep 2019 | Oct 2019 | 3 | 4.0% | +26.5% | +329.0% |
| Nov 2019 | Nov 2019 | 1 | 1.5% | +84.3% | +318.2% |
| Mar 2020 | May 2020 | 9 | 10.8% | +193.9% | +353.3% |
| Dec 2024 | Jun 2025 | 28 | 12.0% | +36.3% | +48.7% |
| Oct 2025 | Oct 2025 | 2 | 2.7% | N/A | +46.6% |
| Average | 22 | — | +18.9% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02