JOE
The St. Joe Company Real Estate - Real Estate - Diversified Investor Relations →
The St. Joe Company (JOE) closed at $63.62 as of 2026-03-20, trading 28.8% above its 200-week moving average of $49.40. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 42.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 52, indicating neutral momentum.
A big spike in selling this week — 2.5x the usual volume, and the price dropped. Sometimes this kind of heavy selling marks the end of a decline. The idea is that the last reluctant holders have finally sold, leaving fewer sellers left to push the price lower.
Over the past 1830 weeks of data, JOE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 31 times. On average, these episodes lasted 22 weeks. Historically, investors who bought JOE at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +18.9%.
With a market cap of $3.7 billion, JOE is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.2%. Return on equity stands at 15.3%, a solid level. The stock trades at 4.8x book value.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in JOE would have grown to $975, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. JOE has returned 7.1% annualized vs 10.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: JOE vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After JOE Crosses Below the Line?
Across 31 historical episodes, buying JOE when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +17.7% after 12 months (median +8.0%), compared to +14.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 69% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +39.2% vs +24.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment JOE crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
JOE has crossed below its 200-week MA 31 times with an average 1-year return of +18.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1991 | Apr 1991 | 5 | 9.4% | +11.9% | +1028.2% |
| May 1991 | May 1991 | 1 | 0.8% | +13.1% | +1036.7% |
| Aug 1991 | Oct 1991 | 11 | 6.0% | +8.3% | +1061.2% |
| Nov 1991 | Feb 1992 | 12 | 13.3% | +15.8% | +1072.9% |
| Aug 1992 | Aug 1992 | 1 | 0.4% | +51.1% | +1011.7% |
| Sep 1992 | Oct 1992 | 1 | 0.1% | +37.6% | +1006.0% |
| Aug 1998 | Oct 1998 | 9 | 15.9% | +10.4% | +394.1% |
| Jan 1999 | Mar 1999 | 7 | 7.4% | +3.1% | +371.5% |
| Aug 1999 | Mar 2000 | 28 | 15.1% | +23.1% | +347.8% |
| Oct 2000 | Oct 2000 | 1 | 29.2% | +105.1% | +468.0% |
| May 2006 | Aug 2006 | 13 | 7.4% | +11.1% | +46.0% |
| May 2007 | Dec 2012 | 292 | 68.9% | -26.7% | +30.1% |
| Feb 2013 | Jul 2013 | 20 | 14.2% | -18.7% | +196.7% |
| Aug 2013 | May 2014 | 40 | 17.8% | +1.8% | +207.3% |
| Sep 2014 | Sep 2015 | 52 | 20.7% | +0.9% | +247.8% |
| Nov 2015 | Nov 2015 | 1 | 2.4% | -0.1% | +255.7% |
| Nov 2015 | Nov 2016 | 50 | 23.3% | +6.0% | +250.1% |
| Jan 2017 | Jun 2017 | 24 | 11.1% | -1.1% | +262.6% |
| Jul 2017 | Aug 2017 | 2 | 2.1% | -4.7% | +271.7% |
| Sep 2017 | Sep 2017 | 2 | 1.8% | -8.2% | +264.6% |
| Oct 2017 | Nov 2017 | 3 | 2.4% | -16.1% | +268.6% |
| Dec 2017 | Feb 2018 | 10 | 2.4% | -27.4% | +266.6% |
| Apr 2018 | Jul 2018 | 12 | 6.5% | -2.2% | +270.7% |
| Jul 2018 | Jul 2018 | 1 | 4.1% | +8.0% | +290.1% |
| Aug 2018 | Jul 2019 | 46 | 25.7% | -1.4% | +276.9% |
| Aug 2019 | Aug 2019 | 3 | 1.4% | +26.2% | +286.7% |
| Sep 2019 | Oct 2019 | 3 | 4.0% | +26.5% | +299.0% |
| Nov 2019 | Nov 2019 | 1 | 1.5% | +84.3% | +289.0% |
| Mar 2020 | May 2020 | 9 | 10.8% | +193.9% | +321.6% |
| Dec 2024 | Jun 2025 | 28 | 12.0% | +36.3% | +38.3% |
| Oct 2025 | Oct 2025 | 2 | 2.7% | N/A | +36.4% |
| Average | 22 | — | +18.9% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JOE below its 200-week moving average?
No. The St. Joe Company (JOE) is currently 28.8% above its 200-week moving average of $49.40. It would need to fall to $49.40 to cross below the line.
What is JOE's 200-week moving average price?
The St. Joe Company's 200-week moving average is $49.40 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when JOE drops below its 200-week moving average?
JOE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 31 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +18.9%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 22 weeks on average.
Is JOE a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about JOE as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 52. Free cash flow yield is 3.2%. Return on equity is 15.3%. Price-to-book is 4.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does JOE compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.2 years, $100 invested in JOE would have grown to $975, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That's 7.1% annualized vs 10.4% for the index. JOE has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does JOE pay a dividend?
Yes. The St. Joe Company currently pays a dividend yield of 101.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20