JHG
Janus Henderson Group plc Financial Services - Asset Management Investor Relations →
Janus Henderson Group plc (JHG) closed at $51.88 as of 2026-06-19, trading 54.4% above its 200-week moving average of $33.59. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 55.0% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 92, JHG is in overbought territory.
Over the past 14 weeks, up-weeks have carried more volume than down-weeks (1.95 buyers-vs-sellers ratio). When trading picks up, it's more often on days the price is rising — buyers are showing more interest than sellers.
Over the past 424 weeks of data, JHG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 7 times. On average, these episodes lasted 24 weeks. Historically, investors who bought JHG at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +24.1%.
With a market cap of $8.0 billion, JHG is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 9.3%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 16.2%, a solid level. The stock trades at 1.5x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 7.0% over the past three years. JHG passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 8.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in JHG would have grown to $248, compared to $313 for the S&P 500. JHG has returned 11.8% annualized vs 15.0% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 16% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: JHG vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After JHG Crosses Below the Line?
Across 7 historical episodes, buying JHG when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +26.7% after 12 months (median +31.0%), compared to +22.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 86% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +52.7% vs +42.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment JHG crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices JHG would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where JHG's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-07-30.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $50.16 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $51.31 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $52.52 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $53.78 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $55.11 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from JHG's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
JHG has crossed below its 200-week MA 7 times with an average 1-year return of +24.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2018 | Sep 2020 | 125 | 44.8% | -31.7% | +128.4% |
| Jun 2022 | Aug 2022 | 9 | 9.1% | +19.0% | +145.4% |
| Aug 2022 | Jan 2023 | 20 | 21.0% | +16.6% | +150.5% |
| Mar 2023 | Mar 2023 | 3 | 2.3% | +33.3% | +131.5% |
| Apr 2023 | May 2023 | 1 | 0.0% | +29.4% | +127.3% |
| Aug 2023 | Aug 2023 | 1 | 0.4% | +46.1% | +121.1% |
| Sep 2023 | Nov 2023 | 9 | 14.1% | +56.3% | +121.9% |
| Average | 24 | — | +24.1% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JHG below its 200-week moving average?
No. Janus Henderson Group plc (JHG) is currently 54.4% above its 200-week moving average of $33.59. It would need to fall to $33.59 to cross below the line.
What is JHG's 200-week moving average price?
Janus Henderson Group plc's 200-week moving average is $33.59 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when JHG drops below its 200-week moving average?
JHG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 7 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +24.1%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 24 weeks on average.
Is JHG a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about JHG as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 92 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 9.3%. Return on equity is 16.2%. Price-to-book is 1.5x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does JHG compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 8.2 years, $100 invested in JHG would have grown to $248, compared to $313 for the S&P 500. That's 11.8% annualized vs 15.0% for the index. JHG has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does JHG pay a dividend?
Yes. Janus Henderson Group plc currently pays a dividend yield of 309.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19