JEF
Jefferies Financial Group Inc. Financial Services - Capital Markets Investor Relations →
Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) closed at $49.29 as of 2026-05-01, trading 9.5% above its 200-week moving average of $45.02. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 5.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 34, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.0x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.84 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2358 weeks of data, JEF has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times. On average, these episodes lasted 24 weeks. Historically, investors who bought JEF at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +10.5%.
With a market cap of $10.1 billion, JEF is a large-cap stock. The stock trades at 0.9x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 8.8% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in JEF would have grown to $1870, compared to $2973 for the S&P 500. JEF has returned 9.2% annualized vs 10.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: JEF vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After JEF Crosses Below the Line?
Across 14 historical episodes, buying JEF when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +0.1% after 12 months (median -4.0%), compared to +14.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 36% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +12.8% vs +26.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment JEF crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
JEF has crossed below its 200-week MA 19 times with an average 1-year return of +10.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1987 | Jan 1988 | 11 | 26.3% | +13.0% | +15278.4% |
| Feb 1988 | Feb 1988 | 2 | 0.9% | +27.1% | +14637.7% |
| Mar 1988 | Jun 1988 | 15 | 15.6% | +34.7% | +14336.9% |
| Jul 1988 | Nov 1988 | 17 | 8.4% | +52.1% | +14637.7% |
| Oct 1998 | Oct 1998 | 1 | 1.1% | +20.6% | +1425.9% |
| May 1999 | May 1999 | 1 | 28.9% | +113.7% | +1933.5% |
| Oct 2008 | Jan 2011 | 118 | 66.1% | -23.2% | +145.8% |
| Aug 2011 | Jan 2012 | 25 | 28.6% | -27.4% | +163.7% |
| Mar 2012 | Jan 2013 | 43 | 21.5% | +9.3% | +193.7% |
| Aug 2013 | Sep 2013 | 1 | 0.3% | +0.9% | +194.9% |
| Apr 2014 | Jun 2014 | 8 | 3.2% | -9.4% | +184.0% |
| Jun 2014 | May 2015 | 46 | 15.9% | -4.3% | +181.3% |
| Jun 2015 | Jun 2015 | 2 | 1.4% | -27.4% | +198.8% |
| Jul 2015 | Dec 2016 | 72 | 37.3% | -21.3% | +208.0% |
| Apr 2018 | Apr 2018 | 1 | 0.2% | -5.9% | +218.9% |
| Oct 2018 | Jul 2019 | 38 | 21.5% | -4.2% | +232.5% |
| Jul 2019 | Nov 2019 | 16 | 12.3% | -11.5% | +234.5% |
| Feb 2020 | Oct 2020 | 32 | 38.9% | +52.4% | +214.2% |
| Mar 2026 | Apr 2026 | 5 | 18.0% | N/A | +28.7% |
| Average | 24 | — | +10.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JEF below its 200-week moving average?
No. Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) is currently 9.5% above its 200-week moving average of $45.02. It would need to fall to $45.02 to cross below the line.
What is JEF's 200-week moving average price?
Jefferies Financial Group Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $45.02 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when JEF drops below its 200-week moving average?
JEF has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +10.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 24 weeks on average.
Is JEF a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about JEF as of 2026-05-01: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 34. Price-to-book is 0.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does JEF compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.3 years, $100 invested in JEF would have grown to $1870, compared to $2973 for the S&P 500. That's 9.2% annualized vs 10.7% for the index. JEF has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does JEF pay a dividend?
Yes. Jefferies Financial Group Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 325.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-01