JEF
Jefferies Financial Group Inc. Financial Services - Capital Markets Investor Relations →
Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) closed at $38.13 as of 2026-03-20, trading 14.1% below its 200-week moving average of $44.41. This places JEF in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -18.0% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 15, JEF is in oversold territory.
Over the past 14 weeks, down-weeks have had more trading volume than up-weeks (0.68 buyers-vs-sellers ratio). That means when people are active, they're more often selling than buying. Sellers are still more in control than buyers.
Over the past 2352 weeks of data, JEF has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times. On average, these episodes lasted 24 weeks. Historically, investors who bought JEF at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +10.5%.
With a market cap of $7.9 billion, JEF is a mid-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 6.6%. The stock trades at 0.7x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 8.8% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in JEF would have grown to $1447, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. JEF has returned 8.4% annualized vs 10.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: JEF vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After JEF Crosses Below the Line?
Across 14 historical episodes, buying JEF when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +0.1% after 12 months (median -4.0%), compared to +14.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 36% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +12.8% vs +26.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment JEF crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
JEF has crossed below its 200-week MA 19 times with an average 1-year return of +10.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1987 | Jan 1988 | 11 | 26.3% | +13.0% | +11796.5% |
| Feb 1988 | Feb 1988 | 2 | 0.9% | +27.1% | +11300.8% |
| Mar 1988 | Jun 1988 | 15 | 15.6% | +34.7% | +11068.2% |
| Jul 1988 | Nov 1988 | 17 | 8.4% | +52.1% | +11300.8% |
| Oct 1998 | Oct 1998 | 1 | 1.1% | +20.6% | +1080.4% |
| May 1999 | May 1999 | 1 | 28.9% | +113.7% | +1473.1% |
| Oct 2008 | Jan 2011 | 118 | 66.1% | -23.2% | +90.1% |
| Aug 2011 | Jan 2012 | 25 | 28.6% | -27.4% | +104.0% |
| Mar 2012 | Jan 2013 | 43 | 21.5% | +9.3% | +127.2% |
| Aug 2013 | Sep 2013 | 1 | 0.3% | +0.9% | +128.1% |
| Apr 2014 | Jun 2014 | 8 | 3.2% | -9.4% | +119.7% |
| Jun 2014 | May 2015 | 46 | 15.9% | -4.3% | +117.6% |
| Jun 2015 | Jun 2015 | 2 | 1.4% | -27.4% | +131.2% |
| Jul 2015 | Dec 2016 | 72 | 37.3% | -21.3% | +138.3% |
| Apr 2018 | Apr 2018 | 1 | 0.2% | -5.9% | +146.7% |
| Oct 2018 | Jul 2019 | 38 | 21.5% | -4.2% | +157.3% |
| Jul 2019 | Nov 2019 | 16 | 12.3% | -11.5% | +158.8% |
| Feb 2020 | Oct 2020 | 32 | 38.9% | +52.4% | +143.1% |
| Mar 2026 | Ongoing | 3+ | 18.0% | Ongoing | -0.4% |
| Average | 24 | — | +10.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JEF below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) is trading 14.1% below its 200-week moving average of $44.41. The current price is $38.13.
What is JEF's 200-week moving average price?
Jefferies Financial Group Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $44.41 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when JEF drops below its 200-week moving average?
JEF has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +10.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 24 weeks on average.
Is JEF a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about JEF as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 15 (oversold). Return on equity is 6.6%. Price-to-book is 0.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does JEF compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.2 years, $100 invested in JEF would have grown to $1447, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That's 8.4% annualized vs 10.4% for the index. JEF has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does JEF pay a dividend?
Yes. Jefferies Financial Group Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 420.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20