JEF
Jefferies Financial Group Inc. Financial Services - Capital Markets Investor Relations →
Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) closed at $58.94 as of 2026-02-02, trading 33.3% above its 200-week moving average of $44.22. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 38.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 66, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 2346 weeks of data, JEF has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times. On average, these episodes lasted 25 weeks. Historically, investors who bought JEF at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +10.5%.
With a market cap of $12.2 billion, JEF is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 6.6%. The stock trades at 1.1x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 8.8% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in JEF would have grown to $2220, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. JEF has returned 9.8% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: JEF vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After JEF Crosses Below the Line?
Across 14 historical episodes, buying JEF when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +0.1% after 12 months (median -4.0%), compared to +14.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 36% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +12.8% vs +26.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment JEF crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
JEF has crossed below its 200-week MA 18 times with an average 1-year return of +10.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1987 | Jan 1988 | 11 | 26.3% | +13.0% | +18152.3% |
| Feb 1988 | Feb 1988 | 2 | 0.9% | +27.1% | +17391.8% |
| Mar 1988 | Jun 1988 | 15 | 15.6% | +34.7% | +17034.8% |
| Jul 1988 | Nov 1988 | 17 | 8.4% | +52.1% | +17391.8% |
| Oct 1998 | Oct 1998 | 1 | 1.1% | +20.6% | +1711.1% |
| May 1999 | May 1999 | 1 | 28.9% | +113.7% | +2313.5% |
| Oct 2008 | Jan 2011 | 118 | 66.1% | -23.2% | +191.7% |
| Aug 2011 | Jan 2012 | 25 | 28.6% | -27.4% | +213.0% |
| Mar 2012 | Jan 2013 | 43 | 21.5% | +9.3% | +248.6% |
| Aug 2013 | Sep 2013 | 1 | 0.3% | +0.9% | +250.0% |
| Apr 2014 | Jun 2014 | 8 | 3.2% | -9.4% | +237.0% |
| Jun 2014 | May 2015 | 46 | 15.9% | -4.3% | +233.9% |
| Jun 2015 | Jun 2015 | 2 | 1.4% | -27.4% | +254.7% |
| Jul 2015 | Dec 2016 | 72 | 37.3% | -21.3% | +265.5% |
| Apr 2018 | Apr 2018 | 1 | 0.2% | -5.9% | +278.5% |
| Oct 2018 | Jul 2019 | 38 | 21.5% | -4.2% | +294.7% |
| Jul 2019 | Nov 2019 | 16 | 12.3% | -11.5% | +297.0% |
| Feb 2020 | Oct 2020 | 32 | 38.9% | +52.4% | +272.9% |
| Average | 25 | — | +10.5% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02