JD
JD.com Inc. Consumer Discretionary - E-Commerce Investor Relations →
JD.com Inc. (JD) closed at $28.07 as of 2026-02-02, trading 22.4% below its 200-week moving average of $36.19. This places JD in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -21.6% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 26, JD is in oversold territory.
Over the past 563 weeks of data, JD has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times. On average, these episodes lasted 27 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -15.3%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $41.4 billion, JD is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 11.7%. The stock trades at 1.2x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 6.7% over the past three years.
Over the past 10.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in JD would have grown to $92, compared to $397 for the S&P 500. JD has returned -0.7% annualized vs 13.5% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 30.3% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Growth of $100: JD vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After JD Crosses Below the Line?
Across 11 historical episodes, buying JD when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -18.8% after 12 months (median -24.0%), compared to +11.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 27% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +18.3% vs +38.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment JD crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
JD has crossed below its 200-week MA 11 times with an average 1-year return of +-15.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2015 | Sep 2015 | 7 | 20.0% | -12.3% | +10.0% |
| Oct 2015 | Nov 2015 | 5 | 5.6% | -1.5% | +15.0% |
| Jan 2016 | Apr 2016 | 14 | 18.6% | -4.9% | +12.0% |
| Apr 2016 | Jan 2017 | 38 | 27.9% | +37.2% | +21.0% |
| Aug 2018 | Oct 2019 | 62 | 40.0% | -8.4% | -1.5% |
| Mar 2022 | Mar 2022 | 1 | 9.3% | -13.5% | -35.5% |
| Apr 2022 | Apr 2022 | 1 | 2.7% | -28.8% | -40.6% |
| May 2022 | May 2022 | 2 | 4.1% | -28.7% | -40.0% |
| Sep 2022 | Nov 2022 | 10 | 32.5% | -41.0% | -42.3% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 3 | 2.3% | -50.8% | -46.7% |
| Jan 2023 | Ongoing | 158+ | 62.4% | Ongoing | -47.6% |
| Average | 27 | — | +-15.3% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02