JD
JD.com Inc. Consumer Discretionary - E-Commerce Investor Relations →
JD.com Inc. (JD) closed at $27.27 as of 2026-03-20, trading 23.2% below its 200-week moving average of $35.52. This places JD in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -20.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 39, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.99 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 569 weeks of data, JD has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times. On average, these episodes lasted 28 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -15.3%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $39.5 billion, JD is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 7.6%. The stock trades at 1.1x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 6.7% over the past three years.
Over the past 11 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in JD would have grown to $90, compared to $374 for the S&P 500. JD has returned -1.0% annualized vs 12.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 30.3% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: JD vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After JD Crosses Below the Line?
Across 11 historical episodes, buying JD when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -18.8% after 12 months (median -24.0%), compared to +11.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 27% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +18.3% vs +38.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment JD crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
JD has crossed below its 200-week MA 11 times with an average 1-year return of +-15.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2015 | Sep 2015 | 7 | 20.0% | -12.3% | +6.9% |
| Oct 2015 | Nov 2015 | 5 | 5.6% | -1.5% | +11.8% |
| Jan 2016 | Apr 2016 | 14 | 18.6% | -4.9% | +8.8% |
| Apr 2016 | Jan 2017 | 38 | 27.9% | +37.2% | +17.6% |
| Aug 2018 | Oct 2019 | 62 | 40.0% | -8.4% | -4.3% |
| Mar 2022 | Mar 2022 | 1 | 9.3% | -13.5% | -37.4% |
| Apr 2022 | Apr 2022 | 1 | 2.7% | -28.8% | -42.3% |
| May 2022 | May 2022 | 2 | 4.1% | -28.7% | -41.7% |
| Sep 2022 | Nov 2022 | 10 | 32.5% | -41.0% | -44.0% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 3 | 2.3% | -50.8% | -48.2% |
| Jan 2023 | Ongoing | 164+ | 62.4% | Ongoing | -49.1% |
| Average | 28 | — | +-15.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JD below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, JD.com Inc. (JD) is trading 23.2% below its 200-week moving average of $35.52. The current price is $27.27.
What is JD's 200-week moving average price?
JD.com Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $35.52 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when JD drops below its 200-week moving average?
JD has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -15.3%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 28 weeks on average.
Is JD a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about JD as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 39. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 7.6%. Price-to-book is 1.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does JD compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 11 years, $100 invested in JD would have grown to $90, compared to $374 for the S&P 500. That's -1.0% annualized vs 12.7% for the index. JD has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does JD pay a dividend?
Yes. JD.com Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 367.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20