JBSS
John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. Consumer Defensive - Packaged Foods Investor Relations →
John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. (JBSS) closed at $78.04 as of 2026-06-19, trading 2.9% below its 200-week moving average of $80.38. This places JBSS in the below line zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -1.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 56, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.92 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1754 weeks of data, JBSS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 15 times. On average, these episodes lasted 50 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -16.5%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $912 million, JBSS is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.6%. Return on equity stands at 18.3%, a solid level. The stock trades at 2.4x book value.
JBSS passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in JBSS would have grown to $896, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. JBSS has returned 6.8% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: JBSS vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After JBSS Crosses Below the Line?
Across 15 historical episodes, buying JBSS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -15.5% after 12 months (median -32.0%), compared to +12.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 31% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -14.0% vs +34.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment JBSS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices JBSS would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where JBSS's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $73.13 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $77.86 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $83.24 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $89.42 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $96.58 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from JBSS's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
JBSS has crossed below its 200-week MA 15 times with an average 1-year return of +-16.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1993 | Aug 1993 | 29 | 13.1% | -10.6% | +851.8% |
| Oct 1993 | Nov 1993 | 7 | 9.5% | -45.1% | +866.9% |
| Dec 1993 | Sep 1997 | 198 | 63.8% | -66.1% | +879.3% |
| Oct 1997 | Nov 1997 | 3 | 3.3% | -48.4% | +1858.6% |
| Dec 1997 | Apr 1998 | 19 | 7.3% | -53.2% | +1858.6% |
| Apr 1998 | May 2001 | 161 | 53.7% | -54.5% | +2068.4% |
| Aug 2005 | Aug 2009 | 208 | 66.4% | -40.1% | +705.3% |
| May 2011 | Feb 2012 | 41 | 31.8% | +62.8% | +1530.4% |
| May 2022 | Aug 2022 | 16 | 9.4% | +63.6% | +23.7% |
| Nov 2024 | Nov 2024 | 2 | 2.9% | -15.3% | -0.4% |
| Dec 2024 | Dec 2024 | 1 | 0.2% | -10.1% | -3.4% |
| Jan 2025 | Jan 2025 | 1 | 0.1% | -14.2% | -3.7% |
| Jan 2025 | Feb 2026 | 55 | 28.9% | +16.1% | +14.1% |
| Mar 2026 | Mar 2026 | 4 | 7.9% | N/A | +3.3% |
| Apr 2026 | Ongoing | 10+ | 6.5% | Ongoing | -2.1% |
| Average | 50 | — | +-16.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JBSS below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. (JBSS) is trading 2.9% below its 200-week moving average of $80.38. The current price is $78.04.
What is JBSS's 200-week moving average price?
John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $80.38 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when JBSS drops below its 200-week moving average?
JBSS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 15 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -16.5%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 50 weeks on average.
Is JBSS a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about JBSS as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 56. Free cash flow yield is 4.6%. Return on equity is 18.3%. Price-to-book is 2.4x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does JBSS compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in JBSS would have grown to $896, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 6.8% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. JBSS has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does JBSS pay a dividend?
Yes. John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 115.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19