JBSS
John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. Consumer Defensive - Packaged Foods Investor Relations →
John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. (JBSS) closed at $78.61 as of 2026-02-02, trading 2.4% below its 200-week moving average of $80.52. This places JBSS in the below line zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 0.5% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 75, JBSS is in overbought territory.
Over the past 1735 weeks of data, JBSS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times. On average, these episodes lasted 57 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -19.3%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $919 million, JBSS is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.1%. Return on equity stands at 20.2%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 2.5x book value.
JBSS passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in JBSS would have grown to $886, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. JBSS has returned 6.8% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: JBSS vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After JBSS Crosses Below the Line?
Across 13 historical episodes, buying JBSS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -15.5% after 12 months (median -32.0%), compared to +12.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 31% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -14.0% vs +34.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment JBSS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
JBSS has crossed below its 200-week MA 13 times with an average 1-year return of +-19.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1993 | Aug 1993 | 29 | 13.1% | -10.6% | +841.1% |
| Oct 1993 | Nov 1993 | 7 | 9.5% | -45.1% | +856.1% |
| Dec 1993 | Sep 1997 | 198 | 63.8% | -66.1% | +868.3% |
| Oct 1997 | Nov 1997 | 3 | 3.3% | -48.4% | +1836.7% |
| Dec 1997 | Apr 1998 | 19 | 7.3% | -53.2% | +1836.7% |
| Apr 1998 | May 2001 | 161 | 53.7% | -54.5% | +2044.2% |
| Aug 2005 | Aug 2009 | 208 | 66.4% | -40.1% | +696.2% |
| May 2011 | Feb 2012 | 41 | 31.8% | +62.8% | +1512.2% |
| May 2022 | Aug 2022 | 16 | 9.4% | +63.6% | +22.3% |
| Nov 2024 | Nov 2024 | 2 | 2.9% | -15.3% | -1.5% |
| Dec 2024 | Dec 2024 | 1 | 0.2% | -10.1% | -4.5% |
| Jan 2025 | Jan 2025 | 1 | 0.1% | -14.2% | -4.8% |
| Jan 2025 | Ongoing | 54+ | 28.9% | Ongoing | +12.9% |
| Average | 57 | — | +-19.3% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02