JBLU
JetBlue Airways Corporation Industrials - Airlines Investor Relations →
JetBlue Airways Corporation (JBLU) closed at $5.68 as of 2026-06-19, trading 5.2% below its 200-week moving average of $5.99. This places JBLU in the deep value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -16.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 63, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.04 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1214 weeks of data, JBLU has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times. On average, these episodes lasted 48 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -6.0%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $2.1 billion, JBLU is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at -33.5%. The stock trades at 1.2x book value.
Share count has increased 13.1% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 23.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in JBLU would have grown to $45, compared to $1353 for the S&P 500. JBLU has returned -3.4% annualized vs 11.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: JBLU vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After JBLU Crosses Below the Line?
Across 17 historical episodes, buying JBLU when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -6.1% after 12 months (median -10.0%), compared to +10.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 35% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -5.4% vs +24.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment JBLU crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. JBLU currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from JBLU's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
JBLU has crossed below its 200-week MA 17 times with an average 1-year return of +-6.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2003 | Mar 2003 | 1 | 1.1% | +30.3% | -53.5% |
| Jan 2004 | Feb 2004 | 4 | 4.6% | -13.5% | -62.4% |
| Mar 2004 | Mar 2004 | 2 | 10.1% | -21.9% | -63.4% |
| Jul 2004 | Aug 2004 | 5 | 6.6% | -9.3% | -64.7% |
| Aug 2004 | Nov 2004 | 13 | 15.2% | -20.6% | -63.5% |
| Dec 2004 | Jan 2007 | 107 | 40.5% | -10.5% | -63.2% |
| Jan 2007 | Oct 2010 | 195 | 71.5% | -67.0% | -60.5% |
| Jan 2011 | Mar 2011 | 8 | 9.8% | -1.2% | -3.4% |
| Apr 2011 | May 2011 | 6 | 10.0% | -17.4% | -3.1% |
| May 2011 | Jun 2011 | 2 | 3.5% | -9.6% | -0.4% |
| Jul 2011 | Jan 2012 | 25 | 36.0% | +2.7% | +1.2% |
| Feb 2012 | Jul 2012 | 19 | 24.1% | +26.4% | +18.1% |
| Jul 2012 | Dec 2012 | 21 | 12.0% | +28.9% | +8.0% |
| Apr 2018 | Oct 2019 | 79 | 23.7% | -6.0% | -70.5% |
| Nov 2019 | Jan 2020 | 8 | 3.4% | -23.5% | -70.0% |
| Feb 2020 | Feb 2021 | 52 | 62.5% | +16.8% | -64.0% |
| Jun 2021 | Ongoing | 261+ | 67.0% | Ongoing | -66.9% |
| Average | 48 | — | +-6.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JBLU below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, JetBlue Airways Corporation (JBLU) is trading 5.2% below its 200-week moving average of $5.99. The current price is $5.68.
What is JBLU's 200-week moving average price?
JetBlue Airways Corporation's 200-week moving average is $5.99 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when JBLU drops below its 200-week moving average?
JBLU has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -6.0%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 48 weeks on average.
Is JBLU a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about JBLU as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 63. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is -33.5%. Price-to-book is 1.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does JBLU compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 23.3 years, $100 invested in JBLU would have grown to $45, compared to $1353 for the S&P 500. That's -3.4% annualized vs 11.8% for the index. JBLU has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19