JBL
Jabil Inc. Technology - Electronic Components Investor Relations →
Jabil Inc. (JBL) closed at $299.57 as of 2026-09-18, trading 79.7% above its 200-week moving average of $166.74. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 92.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 32, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 14 weeks, down-weeks have had more trading volume than up-weeks (0.68 buyers-vs-sellers ratio). That means when people are active, they're more often selling than buying. Sellers are still more in control than buyers.
Over the past 1693 weeks of data, JBL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 26 times. On average, these episodes lasted 19 weeks. Historically, investors who bought JBL at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +31.6%.
With a market cap of $31.4 billion, JBL is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.9%. Return on equity stands at 65.9%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 23.7x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 20.7% over the past three years.
Over the past 32.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in JBL would have grown to $44168, compared to $2993 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 20.6% vs 11.0% for the index — confirming JBL as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 63.9% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: JBL vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After JBL Crosses Below the Line?
Across 26 historical episodes, buying JBL when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +38.1% after 12 months (median +11.0%), compared to +10.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 58% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +66.0% vs +19.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment JBL crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices JBL would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where JBL's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-09-30.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $266.98 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $310.17 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $370.04 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $458.55 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $602.71 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | $3.12 | $3.16 | +1.4% |
| 2026-03-18 | $2.51 | $2.69 | +7.2% |
| 2025-12-17 | $2.73 | $2.85 | +4.4% |
| 2025-09-25 | $2.95 | $3.29 | +11.7% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from JBL's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
JBL has crossed below its 200-week MA 26 times with an average 1-year return of +31.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1994 | Jun 1995 | 62 | 43.7% | -17.5% | +43293.0% |
| Jan 1996 | Feb 1996 | 3 | 16.8% | +443.8% | +38546.9% |
| Dec 2000 | Dec 2000 | 1 | 3.1% | -0.9% | +1666.7% |
| Feb 2001 | Apr 2001 | 6 | 20.6% | -13.8% | +1613.8% |
| Jun 2001 | Jul 2001 | 3 | 9.0% | -19.4% | +1461.5% |
| Aug 2001 | Dec 2001 | 16 | 37.6% | -15.1% | +1595.0% |
| Dec 2001 | Nov 2003 | 98 | 57.6% | -14.0% | +1682.6% |
| Nov 2003 | Dec 2003 | 4 | 6.2% | -5.4% | +1362.2% |
| Apr 2004 | May 2004 | 3 | 4.2% | +4.6% | +1364.5% |
| Jun 2004 | Oct 2004 | 18 | 20.5% | +17.8% | +1472.3% |
| Jan 2005 | Jan 2005 | 4 | 4.6% | +67.6% | +1580.3% |
| Jun 2006 | Aug 2006 | 9 | 17.2% | -20.8% | +1369.0% |
| Sep 2006 | Sep 2006 | 2 | 1.9% | -14.7% | +1353.6% |
| Dec 2006 | Dec 2009 | 158 | 85.0% | -37.0% | +1305.6% |
| Jan 2010 | Mar 2010 | 6 | 12.5% | +28.9% | +2177.5% |
| Apr 2010 | Sep 2010 | 22 | 24.4% | +31.9% | +2221.4% |
| Apr 2013 | Apr 2013 | 1 | 3.7% | +7.9% | +1942.5% |
| Dec 2013 | Jun 2014 | 24 | 13.2% | +35.2% | +1975.8% |
| Oct 2014 | Oct 2014 | 3 | 6.6% | +25.6% | +1715.4% |
| Jul 2015 | Sep 2015 | 8 | 6.9% | +6.3% | +1577.7% |
| Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | 6 | 4.2% | +19.6% | +1535.1% |
| Mar 2016 | Jul 2016 | 17 | 14.8% | +49.3% | +1549.2% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 3 | 1.4% | +51.1% | +1217.8% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 5 | 9.1% | +70.5% | +1240.1% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 1 | 0.0% | +22.9% | +1160.4% |
| Mar 2020 | May 2020 | 8 | 32.6% | +96.8% | +1139.7% |
| Average | 19 | — | +31.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JBL below its 200-week moving average?
No. Jabil Inc. (JBL) is currently 79.7% above its 200-week moving average of $166.74. It would need to fall to $166.74 to cross below the line.
What is JBL's 200-week moving average price?
Jabil Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $166.74 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when JBL drops below its 200-week moving average?
JBL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 26 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +31.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 19 weeks on average.
Is JBL a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about JBL as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 32. Free cash flow yield is 3.9%. Return on equity is 65.9%. Price-to-book is 23.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does JBL compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 32.5 years, $100 invested in JBL would have grown to $44168, compared to $2993 for the S&P 500. That's 20.6% annualized vs 11.0% for the index. JBL has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does JBL pay a dividend?
Yes. Jabil Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 11.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18