JBL
Jabil Inc. Technology - Electronic Components Investor Relations →
Jabil Inc. (JBL) closed at $315.05 as of 2026-07-31, trading 99.7% above its 200-week moving average of $157.75. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 99.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 43, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.84 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1686 weeks of data, JBL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 26 times. On average, these episodes lasted 19 weeks. Historically, investors who bought JBL at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +31.6%.
With a market cap of $33.0 billion, JBL is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.7%. Return on equity stands at 65.9%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 25.0x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 20.7% over the past three years.
Over the past 32.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in JBL would have grown to $46440, compared to $2928 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 20.9% vs 11.0% for the index — confirming JBL as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 63.9% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: JBL vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After JBL Crosses Below the Line?
Across 26 historical episodes, buying JBL when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +38.1% after 12 months (median +11.0%), compared to +10.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 58% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +66.0% vs +19.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment JBL crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices JBL would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where JBL's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-05-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $295.80 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $344.15 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $411.40 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $511.32 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $675.34 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from JBL's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
JBL has crossed below its 200-week MA 26 times with an average 1-year return of +31.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1994 | Jun 1995 | 62 | 43.7% | -17.5% | +45525.4% |
| Jan 1996 | Feb 1996 | 3 | 16.8% | +443.8% | +40535.1% |
| Dec 2000 | Dec 2000 | 1 | 3.1% | -0.9% | +1757.6% |
| Feb 2001 | Apr 2001 | 6 | 20.6% | -13.8% | +1702.0% |
| Jun 2001 | Jul 2001 | 3 | 9.0% | -19.4% | +1541.8% |
| Aug 2001 | Dec 2001 | 16 | 37.6% | -15.1% | +1682.2% |
| Dec 2001 | Nov 2003 | 98 | 57.6% | -14.0% | +1774.3% |
| Nov 2003 | Dec 2003 | 4 | 6.2% | -5.4% | +1437.5% |
| Apr 2004 | May 2004 | 3 | 4.2% | +4.6% | +1439.8% |
| Jun 2004 | Oct 2004 | 18 | 20.5% | +17.8% | +1553.2% |
| Jan 2005 | Jan 2005 | 4 | 4.6% | +67.6% | +1666.7% |
| Jun 2006 | Aug 2006 | 9 | 17.2% | -20.8% | +1444.6% |
| Sep 2006 | Sep 2006 | 2 | 1.9% | -14.7% | +1428.4% |
| Dec 2006 | Dec 2009 | 158 | 85.0% | -37.0% | +1377.9% |
| Jan 2010 | Mar 2010 | 6 | 12.5% | +28.9% | +2294.7% |
| Apr 2010 | Sep 2010 | 22 | 24.4% | +31.9% | +2340.8% |
| Apr 2013 | Apr 2013 | 1 | 3.7% | +7.9% | +2047.6% |
| Dec 2013 | Jun 2014 | 24 | 13.2% | +35.2% | +2082.6% |
| Oct 2014 | Oct 2014 | 3 | 6.6% | +25.6% | +1808.8% |
| Jul 2015 | Sep 2015 | 8 | 6.9% | +6.3% | +1664.0% |
| Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | 6 | 4.2% | +19.6% | +1619.2% |
| Mar 2016 | Jul 2016 | 17 | 14.8% | +49.3% | +1634.0% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 3 | 1.4% | +51.1% | +1285.6% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 5 | 9.1% | +70.5% | +1309.1% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 1 | 0.0% | +22.9% | +1225.2% |
| Mar 2020 | May 2020 | 8 | 32.6% | +96.8% | +1203.5% |
| Average | 19 | — | +31.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JBL below its 200-week moving average?
No. Jabil Inc. (JBL) is currently 99.7% above its 200-week moving average of $157.75. It would need to fall to $157.75 to cross below the line.
What is JBL's 200-week moving average price?
Jabil Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $157.75 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when JBL drops below its 200-week moving average?
JBL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 26 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +31.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 19 weeks on average.
Is JBL a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about JBL as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 43. Free cash flow yield is 3.7%. Return on equity is 65.9%. Price-to-book is 25.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does JBL compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 32.3 years, $100 invested in JBL would have grown to $46440, compared to $2928 for the S&P 500. That's 20.9% annualized vs 11.0% for the index. JBL has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does JBL pay a dividend?
Yes. Jabil Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 10.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31