JBHT
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. Industrials - Integrated Freight & Logistics Investor Relations →
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. (JBHT) closed at $271.75 as of 2026-07-31, trading 50.8% above its 200-week moving average of $180.17. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 60.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 60, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.99 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2179 weeks of data, JBHT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 32 times. On average, these episodes lasted 16 weeks. Historically, investors who bought JBHT at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +22.5%.
With a market cap of $25.5 billion, JBHT is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.5%. Return on equity stands at 18.4%, a solid level. The stock trades at 7.0x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 8.8% over the past three years. JBHT passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 33.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in JBHT would have grown to $6153, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 13.1% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming JBHT as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 58.9% compound annual rate, with 2 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: JBHT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After JBHT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 25 historical episodes, buying JBHT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +15.9% after 12 months (median +13.0%), compared to +17.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 65% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +55.5% vs +35.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment JBHT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices JBHT would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where JBHT's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $209.38 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $226.19 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $245.93 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $269.45 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $297.95 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from JBHT's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
JBHT has crossed below its 200-week MA 32 times with an average 1-year return of +22.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1987 | Dec 1987 | 6 | 20.5% | +47.8% | +13923.5% |
| Dec 1987 | Jan 1988 | 1 | 5.1% | +41.4% | +14355.0% |
| Feb 1988 | Jun 1988 | 18 | 12.5% | +44.1% | +13680.4% |
| Apr 1989 | Jul 1989 | 17 | 10.7% | +15.5% | +11644.2% |
| Aug 1989 | Mar 1990 | 29 | 19.2% | -23.8% | +10941.3% |
| Apr 1990 | May 1990 | 3 | 4.8% | -4.2% | +11133.0% |
| Jun 1990 | Jan 1991 | 32 | 29.5% | +6.0% | +11060.7% |
| Mar 1991 | Mar 1991 | 1 | 3.2% | +87.7% | +11859.2% |
| Apr 1991 | May 1991 | 2 | 1.2% | +101.7% | +11627.8% |
| May 1994 | Mar 1996 | 93 | 33.7% | -2.6% | +7837.1% |
| May 1996 | Jun 1996 | 2 | 0.9% | -18.7% | +7450.9% |
| Jul 1996 | Sep 1997 | 58 | 25.1% | -18.5% | +7500.9% |
| Sep 1997 | Dec 1997 | 11 | 11.0% | +2.9% | +8859.8% |
| Aug 1998 | Aug 1998 | 1 | 13.8% | -5.4% | +8817.0% |
| Sep 1998 | Nov 1998 | 7 | 30.5% | -11.9% | +8608.8% |
| Nov 1998 | Nov 1998 | 1 | 3.4% | -15.7% | +7813.7% |
| Apr 1999 | Apr 1999 | 3 | 4.1% | -19.5% | +7687.7% |
| May 1999 | Jan 2001 | 86 | 39.8% | -13.7% | +7456.1% |
| Feb 2001 | Apr 2001 | 10 | 24.3% | +45.1% | +8129.4% |
| Jun 2001 | Jun 2001 | 2 | 3.1% | +64.2% | +7742.9% |
| Sep 2001 | Dec 2001 | 11 | 29.3% | +67.8% | +9916.7% |
| Oct 2008 | Oct 2008 | 1 | 0.4% | +34.2% | +1218.8% |
| Nov 2008 | Nov 2008 | 2 | 4.3% | +33.1% | +1215.1% |
| Dec 2008 | Dec 2008 | 2 | 4.1% | +43.1% | +1259.7% |
| Jan 2009 | Mar 2009 | 12 | 25.3% | +41.7% | +1231.9% |
| Dec 2015 | Dec 2015 | 1 | 0.2% | +38.9% | +324.4% |
| Jan 2016 | Jan 2016 | 3 | 8.3% | +44.8% | +339.6% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 4 | 2.9% | +23.1% | +214.2% |
| May 2019 | Jul 2019 | 8 | 10.5% | +22.7% | +224.5% |
| Feb 2020 | May 2020 | 12 | 20.3% | +53.7% | +198.3% |
| Apr 2024 | Oct 2024 | 28 | 9.1% | -22.0% | +66.2% |
| Dec 2024 | Nov 2025 | 49 | 26.4% | +17.5% | +62.1% |
| Average | 16 | — | +22.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JBHT below its 200-week moving average?
No. J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. (JBHT) is currently 50.8% above its 200-week moving average of $180.17. It would need to fall to $180.17 to cross below the line.
What is JBHT's 200-week moving average price?
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $180.17 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when JBHT drops below its 200-week moving average?
JBHT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 32 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +22.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 16 weeks on average.
Is JBHT a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about JBHT as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 60. Free cash flow yield is 3.5%. Return on equity is 18.4%. Price-to-book is 7.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does JBHT compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.6 years, $100 invested in JBHT would have grown to $6153, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. That's 13.1% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. JBHT has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does JBHT pay a dividend?
Yes. J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 66.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31