JBHT
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. Industrials - Integrated Freight & Logistics Investor Relations →
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. (JBHT) closed at $234.25 as of 2026-09-18, trading 27.7% above its 200-week moving average of $183.42. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 47.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 32, indicating neutral momentum.
A big spike in selling this week — 2.4x the usual volume, and the price dropped. Sometimes this kind of heavy selling marks the end of a decline. The idea is that the last reluctant holders have finally sold, leaving fewer sellers left to push the price lower.
Over the past 2186 weeks of data, JBHT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 32 times. On average, these episodes lasted 16 weeks. Historically, investors who bought JBHT at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +22.5%.
With a market cap of $22.0 billion, JBHT is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.1%. Return on equity stands at 18.4%, a solid level. The stock trades at 6.0x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 8.8% over the past three years. JBHT passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 33.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in JBHT would have grown to $5313, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 12.5% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming JBHT as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 58.9% compound annual rate, with 2 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: JBHT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After JBHT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 25 historical episodes, buying JBHT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +15.9% after 12 months (median +13.0%), compared to +17.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 65% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +55.5% vs +35.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment JBHT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices JBHT would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where JBHT's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-10-15.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $235.59 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $270.13 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $316.52 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $382.16 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $482.14 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | $1.74 | $1.91 | +9.6% |
| 2026-04-15 | $1.45 | $1.49 | +3.1% |
| 2026-01-15 | $1.81 | $1.90 | +4.8% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from JBHT's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
JBHT has crossed below its 200-week MA 32 times with an average 1-year return of +22.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1987 | Dec 1987 | 6 | 20.5% | +47.8% | +12008.7% |
| Dec 1987 | Jan 1988 | 1 | 5.1% | +41.4% | +12381.3% |
| Feb 1988 | Jun 1988 | 18 | 12.5% | +44.1% | +11798.8% |
| Apr 1989 | Jul 1989 | 17 | 10.7% | +15.5% | +10040.6% |
| Aug 1989 | Mar 1990 | 29 | 19.2% | -23.8% | +9433.7% |
| Apr 1990 | May 1990 | 3 | 4.8% | -4.2% | +9599.2% |
| Jun 1990 | Jan 1991 | 32 | 29.5% | +6.0% | +9536.8% |
| Mar 1991 | Mar 1991 | 1 | 3.2% | +87.7% | +10226.3% |
| Apr 1991 | May 1991 | 2 | 1.2% | +101.7% | +10026.4% |
| May 1994 | Mar 1996 | 93 | 33.7% | -2.6% | +6753.4% |
| May 1996 | Jun 1996 | 2 | 0.9% | -18.7% | +6419.9% |
| Jul 1996 | Sep 1997 | 58 | 25.1% | -18.5% | +6463.1% |
| Sep 1997 | Dec 1997 | 11 | 11.0% | +2.9% | +7636.4% |
| Aug 1998 | Aug 1998 | 1 | 13.8% | -5.4% | +7599.5% |
| Sep 1998 | Nov 1998 | 7 | 30.5% | -11.9% | +7419.7% |
| Nov 1998 | Nov 1998 | 1 | 3.4% | -15.7% | +6733.2% |
| Apr 1999 | Apr 1999 | 3 | 4.1% | -19.5% | +6624.4% |
| May 1999 | Jan 2001 | 86 | 39.8% | -13.7% | +6424.4% |
| Feb 2001 | Apr 2001 | 10 | 24.3% | +45.1% | +7005.8% |
| Jun 2001 | Jun 2001 | 2 | 3.1% | +64.2% | +6672.0% |
| Sep 2001 | Dec 2001 | 11 | 29.3% | +67.8% | +8549.0% |
| Oct 2008 | Oct 2008 | 1 | 0.4% | +34.2% | +1038.7% |
| Nov 2008 | Nov 2008 | 2 | 4.3% | +33.1% | +1035.6% |
| Dec 2008 | Dec 2008 | 2 | 4.1% | +43.1% | +1074.1% |
| Jan 2009 | Mar 2009 | 12 | 25.3% | +41.7% | +1050.0% |
| Dec 2015 | Dec 2015 | 1 | 0.2% | +38.9% | +266.5% |
| Jan 2016 | Jan 2016 | 3 | 8.3% | +44.8% | +279.5% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 4 | 2.9% | +23.1% | +171.3% |
| May 2019 | Jul 2019 | 8 | 10.5% | +22.7% | +180.2% |
| Feb 2020 | May 2020 | 12 | 20.3% | +53.7% | +157.5% |
| Apr 2024 | Oct 2024 | 28 | 9.1% | -22.0% | +43.5% |
| Dec 2024 | Nov 2025 | 49 | 26.4% | +17.5% | +40.0% |
| Average | 16 | — | +22.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JBHT below its 200-week moving average?
No. J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. (JBHT) is currently 27.7% above its 200-week moving average of $183.42. It would need to fall to $183.42 to cross below the line.
What is JBHT's 200-week moving average price?
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $183.42 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when JBHT drops below its 200-week moving average?
JBHT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 32 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +22.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 16 weeks on average.
Is JBHT a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about JBHT as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 32. Free cash flow yield is 4.1%. Return on equity is 18.4%. Price-to-book is 6.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does JBHT compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.8 years, $100 invested in JBHT would have grown to $5313, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. That's 12.5% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. JBHT has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does JBHT pay a dividend?
Yes. J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 76.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18