JBGS
JBG SMITH Properties Real Estate - REIT - Office Investor Relations โ
JBG SMITH Properties (JBGS) closed at $16.63 as of 2026-02-02, trading 3.2% above its 200-week moving average of $16.12. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 4.3% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 28, JBGS is in oversold territory.
Over the past 400 weeks of data, JBGS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 4 times. On average, these episodes lasted 68 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -1.5%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $1066 million, JBGS is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 14.0%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at -8.9%. The stock trades at 0.8x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 33.7% over the past three years. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 7.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in JBGS would have grown to $61, compared to $287 for the S&P 500. JBGS has returned -6.2% annualized vs 14.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny โ the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: JBGS vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After JBGS Crosses Below the Line?
Across 4 historical episodes, buying JBGS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +4.7% after 12 months (median +16.0%), compared to +25.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 67% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -14.3% vs +48.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment JBGS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
JBGS has crossed below its 200-week MA 4 times with an average 1-year return of +-1.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 1 | 0.4% | +18.0% | -36.4% |
| Mar 2020 | May 2021 | 64 | 31.8% | +2.7% | -37.2% |
| Jun 2021 | Jun 2025 | 207 | 49.8% | -25.2% | -37.8% |
| Jun 2025 | Jul 2025 | 1 | 1.7% | N/A | +0.2% |
| Average | 68 | โ | +-1.5% | โ |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02