JACK
Jack in the Box Inc. Consumer Cyclical - Restaurants Investor Relations →
Jack in the Box Inc. (JACK) closed at $12.80 as of 2026-06-19, trading 74.0% below its 200-week moving average of $49.32. This places JACK in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -73.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 50, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.7x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.93 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1741 weeks of data, JACK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 31 times. On average, these episodes lasted 23 weeks. Historically, investors who bought JACK at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +7.0%.
With a market cap of $244 million, JACK is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. The stock trades at -0.3x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 9.1% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in JACK would have grown to $348, compared to $3064 for the S&P 500. JACK has returned 3.8% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: JACK vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After JACK Crosses Below the Line?
Across 31 historical episodes, buying JACK when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +5.5% after 12 months (median +1.0%), compared to +11.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 52% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +2.2% vs +31.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment JACK crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices JACK would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where JACK's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-08-05.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $9.90 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $12.07 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $15.47 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $21.52 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $35.33 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from JACK's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
JACK has crossed below its 200-week MA 31 times with an average 1-year return of +7.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1993 | May 1993 | 14 | 33.9% | -1.2% | +217.2% |
| Jun 1993 | Apr 1996 | 150 | 59.5% | -52.2% | +182.0% |
| May 1996 | May 1996 | 2 | 5.0% | +56.5% | +309.3% |
| Jul 1996 | Jul 1996 | 2 | 2.2% | +114.2% | +322.9% |
| Sep 2002 | Feb 2004 | 75 | 40.8% | -5.6% | +33.6% |
| Mar 2004 | Mar 2004 | 2 | 2.5% | +59.7% | +33.3% |
| May 2008 | May 2008 | 1 | 1.2% | +7.1% | -32.3% |
| Jun 2008 | Aug 2008 | 6 | 21.9% | -3.3% | -31.1% |
| Aug 2008 | Sep 2008 | 2 | 2.3% | -12.4% | -33.2% |
| Sep 2008 | Mar 2009 | 27 | 42.3% | -9.0% | -28.1% |
| Apr 2009 | May 2009 | 3 | 6.0% | -1.8% | -33.7% |
| Jun 2009 | Jun 2011 | 107 | 27.1% | -11.2% | -35.6% |
| Aug 2011 | Jan 2012 | 26 | 16.4% | +28.0% | -23.0% |
| Feb 2018 | Feb 2018 | 1 | 2.1% | +3.1% | -81.7% |
| Mar 2018 | Mar 2018 | 1 | 0.7% | -6.2% | -82.2% |
| May 2018 | Jul 2018 | 7 | 6.0% | +3.7% | -81.5% |
| Jul 2018 | Aug 2018 | 3 | 4.1% | -7.9% | -82.5% |
| Sep 2018 | Nov 2018 | 10 | 10.7% | +6.1% | -82.5% |
| Dec 2018 | Jun 2019 | 26 | 11.3% | -2.4% | -82.2% |
| Jun 2019 | Aug 2019 | 7 | 14.8% | -15.8% | -82.8% |
| Aug 2019 | Sep 2019 | 1 | 0.2% | +1.0% | -83.0% |
| Oct 2019 | Feb 2020 | 17 | 10.8% | +3.4% | -83.1% |
| Feb 2020 | Sep 2020 | 31 | 72.7% | +50.9% | -79.0% |
| Oct 2020 | Nov 2020 | 1 | 3.4% | +25.6% | -82.1% |
| Nov 2021 | Dec 2021 | 3 | 3.3% | -14.9% | -83.2% |
| Feb 2022 | Mar 2022 | 2 | 4.5% | +11.5% | -82.5% |
| Apr 2022 | Aug 2022 | 15 | 30.2% | +14.6% | -83.2% |
| Aug 2022 | Oct 2022 | 8 | 10.1% | +3.4% | -82.9% |
| Nov 2022 | Mar 2023 | 17 | 17.2% | -2.9% | -81.0% |
| Aug 2023 | Dec 2023 | 17 | 23.5% | -32.6% | -83.1% |
| Jan 2024 | Ongoing | 128+ | 81.5% | Ongoing | -82.1% |
| Average | 23 | — | +7.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JACK below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, Jack in the Box Inc. (JACK) is trading 74.0% below its 200-week moving average of $49.32. The current price is $12.80.
What is JACK's 200-week moving average price?
Jack in the Box Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $49.32 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when JACK drops below its 200-week moving average?
JACK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 31 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +7.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 23 weeks on average.
Is JACK a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about JACK as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 50. Free cash flow is currently negative. Price-to-book is -0.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does JACK compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.4 years, $100 invested in JACK would have grown to $348, compared to $3064 for the S&P 500. That's 3.8% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. JACK has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does JACK pay a dividend?
Yes. Jack in the Box Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 1571.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19