J
Jacobs Solutions Inc. Industrials - Engineering Services Investor Relations →
Jacobs Solutions Inc. (J) closed at $134.93 as of 2026-07-31, trading 13.7% above its 200-week moving average of $118.66. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 13.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 57, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 14 weeks, down-weeks have had more trading volume than up-weeks (0.60 buyers-vs-sellers ratio). That means when people are active, they're more often selling than buying. Sellers are still more in control than buyers.
Over the past 2371 weeks of data, J has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times. On average, these episodes lasted 33 weeks. Historically, investors who bought J at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +27.2%.
With a market cap of $15.9 billion, J is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.2%. Return on equity stands at 9.4%. The stock trades at 4.8x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 6.5% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in J would have grown to $2590, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. J has returned 10.2% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 20.5% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: J vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After J Crosses Below the Line?
Across 16 historical episodes, buying J when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +27.0% after 12 months (median +22.0%), compared to +16.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 73% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +50.9% vs +33.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment J crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices J would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where J's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $110.21 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $117.00 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $124.68 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $133.44 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $143.52 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from J's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
J has crossed below its 200-week MA 20 times with an average 1-year return of +27.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1981 | Nov 1981 | 7 | 10.6% | -43.2% | +17086.5% |
| Nov 1981 | May 1986 | 232 | 54.3% | -21.7% | +16339.3% |
| Jul 1986 | Oct 1986 | 12 | 10.3% | +96.9% | +34801.9% |
| Nov 1986 | Nov 1986 | 1 | 4.9% | +104.8% | +36490.6% |
| Apr 1994 | Aug 1994 | 18 | 20.9% | -11.7% | +3068.5% |
| Sep 1994 | Aug 1995 | 48 | 29.3% | +4.3% | +2965.7% |
| Oct 1995 | Nov 1995 | 8 | 7.7% | -1.6% | +2900.8% |
| Jul 1996 | Nov 1996 | 18 | 17.2% | +27.6% | +3122.5% |
| Dec 1996 | Dec 1996 | 2 | 2.1% | +9.8% | +2999.2% |
| Dec 1999 | Dec 1999 | 1 | 1.0% | +47.7% | +2283.0% |
| Jan 2000 | Mar 2000 | 9 | 9.1% | +43.7% | +2263.1% |
| Apr 2000 | Apr 2000 | 1 | 0.3% | +97.9% | +2248.5% |
| Sep 2008 | Feb 2012 | 177 | 42.2% | -2.4% | +297.4% |
| Mar 2012 | Sep 2012 | 27 | 18.4% | +14.1% | +290.4% |
| Sep 2012 | Dec 2012 | 12 | 7.8% | +42.9% | +338.4% |
| Sep 2014 | May 2016 | 83 | 25.2% | -20.8% | +275.1% |
| Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | 1 | 1.4% | +21.7% | +259.9% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 | 0.8% | +89.5% | +161.9% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 1 | 0.2% | +17.1% | +23.9% |
| May 2026 | May 2026 | 2 | 6.0% | N/A | +22.5% |
| Average | 33 | — | +27.2% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is J below its 200-week moving average?
No. Jacobs Solutions Inc. (J) is currently 13.7% above its 200-week moving average of $118.66. It would need to fall to $118.66 to cross below the line.
What is J's 200-week moving average price?
Jacobs Solutions Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $118.66 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when J drops below its 200-week moving average?
J has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +27.2%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 33 weeks on average.
Is J a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about J as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 57. Free cash flow yield is 3.2%. Return on equity is 9.4%. Price-to-book is 4.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does J compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.6 years, $100 invested in J would have grown to $2590, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. That's 10.2% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. J has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does J pay a dividend?
Yes. Jacobs Solutions Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 108.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31