J
Jacobs Solutions Inc. Industrials - Engineering Services Investor Relations →
Jacobs Solutions Inc. (J) closed at $143.40 as of 2026-09-18, trading 19.3% above its 200-week moving average of $120.19. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 18.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 66, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.01 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2378 weeks of data, J has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times. On average, these episodes lasted 33 weeks. Historically, investors who bought J at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +27.2%.
With a market cap of $16.8 billion, J is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.9%. Return on equity stands at 8.0%. The stock trades at 5.2x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 6.5% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in J would have grown to $2759, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. J has returned 10.3% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 20.5% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: J vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After J Crosses Below the Line?
Across 16 historical episodes, buying J when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +27.0% after 12 months (median +22.0%), compared to +16.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 73% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +50.9% vs +33.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment J crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices J would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where J's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-11-19.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $113.07 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $121.23 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $130.66 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $141.69 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $154.75 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | $1.83 | $1.84 | +0.8% |
| 2026-05-05 | $1.63 | $1.75 | +7.1% |
| 2026-02-03 | $1.50 | $1.53 | +1.8% |
| 2025-11-20 | $1.68 | $1.75 | +4.2% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from J's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
J has crossed below its 200-week MA 20 times with an average 1-year return of +27.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1981 | Nov 1981 | 7 | 10.6% | -43.2% | +18209.9% |
| Nov 1981 | May 1986 | 232 | 54.3% | -21.7% | +17413.8% |
| Jul 1986 | Oct 1986 | 12 | 10.3% | +96.9% | +37083.3% |
| Nov 1986 | Nov 1986 | 1 | 4.9% | +104.8% | +38882.4% |
| Apr 1994 | Aug 1994 | 18 | 20.9% | -11.7% | +3275.6% |
| Sep 1994 | Aug 1995 | 48 | 29.3% | +4.3% | +3166.1% |
| Oct 1995 | Nov 1995 | 8 | 7.7% | -1.6% | +3097.0% |
| Jul 1996 | Nov 1996 | 18 | 17.2% | +27.6% | +3333.1% |
| Dec 1996 | Dec 1996 | 2 | 2.1% | +9.8% | +3201.8% |
| Dec 1999 | Dec 1999 | 1 | 1.0% | +47.7% | +2438.8% |
| Jan 2000 | Mar 2000 | 9 | 9.1% | +43.7% | +2417.6% |
| Apr 2000 | Apr 2000 | 1 | 0.3% | +97.9% | +2402.0% |
| Sep 2008 | Feb 2012 | 177 | 42.2% | -2.4% | +323.4% |
| Mar 2012 | Sep 2012 | 27 | 18.4% | +14.1% | +315.9% |
| Sep 2012 | Dec 2012 | 12 | 7.8% | +42.9% | +367.0% |
| Sep 2014 | May 2016 | 83 | 25.2% | -20.8% | +299.6% |
| Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | 1 | 1.4% | +21.7% | +283.4% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 | 0.8% | +89.5% | +179.0% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 1 | 0.2% | +17.1% | +32.0% |
| May 2026 | May 2026 | 2 | 6.0% | N/A | +30.5% |
| Average | 33 | — | +27.2% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is J below its 200-week moving average?
No. Jacobs Solutions Inc. (J) is currently 19.3% above its 200-week moving average of $120.19. It would need to fall to $120.19 to cross below the line.
What is J's 200-week moving average price?
Jacobs Solutions Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $120.19 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when J drops below its 200-week moving average?
J has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +27.2%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 33 weeks on average.
Is J a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about J as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 66. Free cash flow yield is 3.9%. Return on equity is 8.0%. Price-to-book is 5.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does J compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.8 years, $100 invested in J would have grown to $2759, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. That's 10.3% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. J has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does J pay a dividend?
Yes. Jacobs Solutions Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 100.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18