IX
ORIX Corporation Financial Services - Financial Conglomerates Investor Relations →
ORIX Corporation (IX) closed at $32.30 as of 2026-02-02, trading 63.4% above its 200-week moving average of $19.77. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 55.0% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 93, IX is in overbought territory.
Over the past 1381 weeks of data, IX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 21 times. On average, these episodes lasted 24 weeks. Historically, investors who bought IX at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +5.4%.
With a market cap of $35.7 billion, IX is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 10.4%. The stock trades at 1.3x book value.
Over the past 26.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in IX would have grown to $354, compared to $834 for the S&P 500. IX has returned 4.9% annualized vs 8.3% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: IX vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After IX Crosses Below the Line?
Across 21 historical episodes, buying IX when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +6.0% after 12 months (median +10.0%), compared to +11.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 71% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +9.7% vs +27.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment IX crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
IX has crossed below its 200-week MA 21 times with an average 1-year return of +5.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2000 | May 2001 | 25 | 22.3% | -1.3% | +266.6% |
| Jun 2001 | Aug 2001 | 10 | 16.2% | -16.5% | +249.1% |
| Aug 2001 | Feb 2004 | 128 | 57.0% | -28.2% | +251.6% |
| Oct 2007 | Nov 2007 | 4 | 13.9% | -45.8% | +79.3% |
| Dec 2007 | Jul 2011 | 186 | 90.0% | -66.1% | +93.8% |
| Aug 2011 | Jan 2012 | 23 | 20.5% | +1.1% | +263.2% |
| Jan 2015 | Feb 2015 | 4 | 5.3% | +12.6% | +188.8% |
| Aug 2015 | Sep 2015 | 3 | 3.1% | +19.5% | +170.4% |
| Jan 2016 | Jan 2016 | 3 | 2.5% | +21.4% | +156.5% |
| Feb 2016 | Feb 2016 | 3 | 13.1% | +30.3% | +188.9% |
| May 2016 | Aug 2016 | 13 | 9.8% | +11.3% | +146.8% |
| Aug 2016 | Aug 2016 | 1 | 2.7% | +16.6% | +146.8% |
| Sep 2016 | Sep 2016 | 1 | 0.1% | +12.6% | +139.3% |
| Oct 2016 | Oct 2016 | 3 | 2.8% | +15.5% | +142.6% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 6 | 11.4% | +11.5% | +121.7% |
| Jan 2019 | Sep 2019 | 32 | 9.3% | +12.6% | +126.2% |
| Sep 2019 | Oct 2019 | 5 | 2.6% | -14.1% | +122.6% |
| Mar 2020 | Nov 2020 | 37 | 32.9% | +28.1% | +154.6% |
| Dec 2020 | Dec 2020 | 3 | 3.5% | +32.7% | +126.3% |
| Sep 2022 | Jan 2023 | 16 | 12.3% | +26.9% | +116.9% |
| Mar 2023 | Mar 2023 | 1 | 1.6% | +33.7% | +112.5% |
| Average | 24 | — | +5.4% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02