IVR
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. Real Estate - REIT - Mortgage Investor Relations →
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (IVR) closed at $8.82 as of 2026-02-02, trading 27.7% above its 200-week moving average of $6.91. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 22.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 67, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 818 weeks of data, IVR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 8 times. On average, these episodes lasted 45 weeks. Historically, investors who bought IVR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +17.2%.
With a market cap of $633 million, IVR is a small-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 13.3%. The stock trades at 1.0x book value.
Share count has increased 87.1% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 15.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in IVR would have grown to $39, compared to $888 for the S&P 500. IVR has returned -5.9% annualized vs 14.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 6.3% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Growth of $100: IVR vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After IVR Crosses Below the Line?
Across 8 historical episodes, buying IVR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +41.2% after 12 months (median +34.0%), compared to +23.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +23.8% vs +33.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment IVR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
IVR has crossed below its 200-week MA 8 times with an average 1-year return of +17.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2010 | Jul 2010 | 1 | 2.8% | +36.0% | -61.4% |
| Aug 2011 | Feb 2012 | 26 | 20.0% | +37.1% | -64.0% |
| Aug 2013 | Aug 2013 | 1 | 1.1% | +31.7% | -69.4% |
| Nov 2013 | Nov 2013 | 1 | 0.3% | +24.4% | -70.1% |
| Dec 2013 | Dec 2013 | 1 | 2.1% | +25.8% | -69.7% |
| Dec 2013 | Dec 2013 | 1 | 1.2% | +19.9% | -70.0% |
| Aug 2015 | May 2016 | 36 | 24.5% | +27.1% | -73.7% |
| Mar 2020 | Nov 2025 | 295 | 85.1% | -64.4% | -80.9% |
| Average | 45 | — | +17.2% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02