IVR
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. Real Estate - REIT - Mortgage Investor Relations →
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (IVR) closed at $7.64 as of 2026-03-20, trading 12.4% above its 200-week moving average of $6.80. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 18.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 51, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.05 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 824 weeks of data, IVR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 8 times. On average, these episodes lasted 45 weeks. Historically, investors who bought IVR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +17.2%.
With a market cap of $650 million, IVR is a small-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 13.3%. The stock trades at 0.9x book value.
Share count has increased 85.5% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 15.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in IVR would have grown to $34, compared to $836 for the S&P 500. IVR has returned -6.6% annualized vs 14.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -7.1% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: IVR vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After IVR Crosses Below the Line?
Across 8 historical episodes, buying IVR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +41.2% after 12 months (median +34.0%), compared to +23.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +23.8% vs +33.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment IVR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
IVR has crossed below its 200-week MA 8 times with an average 1-year return of +17.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2010 | Jul 2010 | 1 | 2.8% | +36.0% | -66.1% |
| Aug 2011 | Feb 2012 | 26 | 20.0% | +37.1% | -68.4% |
| Aug 2013 | Aug 2013 | 1 | 1.1% | +31.7% | -73.1% |
| Nov 2013 | Nov 2013 | 1 | 0.3% | +24.4% | -73.8% |
| Dec 2013 | Dec 2013 | 1 | 2.1% | +25.8% | -73.4% |
| Dec 2013 | Dec 2013 | 1 | 1.2% | +19.9% | -73.7% |
| Aug 2015 | May 2016 | 36 | 24.5% | +27.1% | -76.9% |
| Mar 2020 | Nov 2025 | 295 | 85.1% | -64.4% | -83.3% |
| Average | 45 | — | +17.2% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IVR below its 200-week moving average?
No. Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (IVR) is currently 12.4% above its 200-week moving average of $6.80. It would need to fall to $6.80 to cross below the line.
What is IVR's 200-week moving average price?
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $6.80 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when IVR drops below its 200-week moving average?
IVR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 8 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +17.2%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 45 weeks on average.
Is IVR a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about IVR as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 51. Return on equity is 13.3%. Price-to-book is 0.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does IVR compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 15.8 years, $100 invested in IVR would have grown to $34, compared to $836 for the S&P 500. That's -6.6% annualized vs 14.4% for the index. IVR has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does IVR pay a dividend?
Yes. Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 1885.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20