IVA
Inventiva S.A. Healthcare - Biotechnology Investor Relations →
Inventiva S.A. (IVA) closed at $3.57 as of 2026-06-19, trading 10.0% below its 200-week moving average of $3.97. This places IVA in the deep value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -3.1% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 21, IVA is in oversold territory.
A big spike in selling this week — 3.4x the usual volume, and the price dropped. Sometimes this kind of heavy selling marks the end of a decline. The idea is that the last reluctant holders have finally sold, leaving fewer sellers left to push the price lower.
Over the past 262 weeks of data, IVA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 7 times. On average, these episodes lasted 30 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -59.6%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $843 million, IVA is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. The stock trades at -20.7x book value.
Share count has increased 358.5% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 5.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in IVA would have grown to $25, compared to $187 for the S&P 500. IVA has returned -23.8% annualized vs 13.1% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: IVA vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After IVA Crosses Below the Line?
Across 6 historical episodes, buying IVA when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -65.0% after 12 months (median -64.0%), compared to -9.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. After 24 months, the average return was -71.5% vs +4.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment IVA crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from IVA's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
IVA has crossed below its 200-week MA 7 times with an average 1-year return of +-59.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2021 | Aug 2021 | 5 | 19.6% | -64.3% | -73.4% |
| Oct 2021 | Oct 2021 | 2 | 4.7% | -45.1% | -72.2% |
| Nov 2021 | Nov 2021 | 2 | 2.4% | -66.7% | -73.0% |
| Jan 2022 | Aug 2025 | 190 | 76.0% | -62.1% | -72.2% |
| Oct 2025 | Oct 2025 | 1 | 4.9% | N/A | -21.5% |
| Oct 2025 | Dec 2025 | 8 | 13.1% | N/A | -17.0% |
| Jun 2026 | Ongoing | 2+ | 10.0% | Ongoing | -7.3% |
| Average | 30 | — | +-59.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IVA below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, Inventiva S.A. (IVA) is trading 10.0% below its 200-week moving average of $3.97. The current price is $3.57.
What is IVA's 200-week moving average price?
Inventiva S.A.'s 200-week moving average is $3.97 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when IVA drops below its 200-week moving average?
IVA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 7 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -59.6%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 30 weeks on average.
Is IVA a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about IVA as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 21 (oversold). Free cash flow is currently negative. Price-to-book is -20.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does IVA compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 5.1 years, $100 invested in IVA would have grown to $25, compared to $187 for the S&P 500. That's -23.8% annualized vs 13.1% for the index. IVA has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19