ITUB
Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. Financial Services - Banks - Regional Investor Relations →
Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. (ITUB) closed at $8.99 as of 2026-02-02, trading 95.1% above its 200-week moving average of $4.61. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 87.5% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 80, ITUB is in overbought territory.
Over the past 1201 weeks of data, ITUB has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times. On average, these episodes lasted 22 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ITUB at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +21.7%.
With a market cap of $99.1 billion, ITUB is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 21.1%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 2.4x book value.
Over the past 23.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ITUB would have grown to $3934, compared to $1242 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 17.2% vs 11.5% for the index — confirming ITUB as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: ITUB vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ITUB Crosses Below the Line?
Across 17 historical episodes, buying ITUB when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +17.6% after 12 months (median +16.0%), compared to +16.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 59% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +45.9% vs +37.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ITUB crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
ITUB has crossed below its 200-week MA 17 times with an average 1-year return of +21.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2003 | Mar 2003 | 6 | 20.8% | +137.7% | +3882.6% |
| Oct 2008 | Apr 2009 | 29 | 44.2% | +115.3% | +480.3% |
| May 2009 | May 2009 | 1 | 2.7% | +52.7% | +321.8% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 11 | 17.3% | -7.6% | +200.6% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 2 | 13.2% | -12.5% | +212.7% |
| Dec 2011 | Dec 2011 | 1 | 1.2% | -9.7% | +196.0% |
| Apr 2012 | Apr 2014 | 104 | 29.2% | +5.0% | +200.5% |
| Oct 2014 | Oct 2014 | 1 | 0.6% | -46.5% | +192.3% |
| Dec 2014 | Apr 2015 | 19 | 19.2% | -39.4% | +212.2% |
| May 2015 | Aug 2016 | 63 | 49.6% | -20.9% | +236.6% |
| Sep 2016 | Sep 2016 | 1 | 0.1% | +52.0% | +237.4% |
| Dec 2016 | Dec 2016 | 1 | 3.4% | +39.4% | +249.4% |
| Feb 2020 | Mar 2022 | 107 | 49.4% | -33.1% | +152.1% |
| Apr 2022 | May 2022 | 4 | 9.0% | +13.2% | +183.3% |
| Jun 2022 | Aug 2022 | 9 | 18.6% | +25.2% | +184.1% |
| Nov 2022 | Jan 2023 | 6 | 7.1% | +35.6% | +174.8% |
| Feb 2023 | Mar 2023 | 4 | 6.2% | +62.4% | +184.1% |
| Average | 22 | — | +21.7% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02