ITT
ITT Inc. Industrials - Specialty Industrial Machinery Investor Relations →
ITT Inc. (ITT) closed at $204.47 as of 2026-09-18, trading 47.3% above its 200-week moving average of $138.78. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 47.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 61, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.7x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.18 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1557 weeks of data, ITT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 22 times. On average, these episodes lasted 10 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ITT at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +35.4%.
Return on equity stands at 11.6%. The stock trades at 3.8x book value.
Share count has increased 3.9% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 29.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ITT would have grown to $7720, compared to $1675 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 15.6% vs 9.9% for the index — confirming ITT as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 46.5% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: ITT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ITT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 22 historical episodes, buying ITT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +36.4% after 12 months (median +39.0%), compared to +11.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 86% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +72.9% vs +23.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ITT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices ITT would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where ITT's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-10-27.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $178.59 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $187.34 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $196.98 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $207.67 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $219.58 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | $1.95 | $2.08 | +6.9% |
| 2026-05-06 | $1.74 | $1.98 | +14.1% |
| 2026-02-05 | $1.78 | $1.85 | +4.0% |
| 2025-10-29 | $1.67 | $1.78 | +6.7% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from ITT's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
ITT has crossed below its 200-week MA 22 times with an average 1-year return of +35.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1996 | Jan 1997 | 7 | 4.2% | +30.1% | +7303.1% |
| Mar 1997 | Apr 1997 | 6 | 8.6% | +49.2% | +7298.1% |
| May 1997 | May 1997 | 1 | 2.3% | +61.2% | +7453.9% |
| Feb 2000 | Apr 2000 | 10 | 23.8% | +38.1% | +5512.2% |
| May 2000 | May 2000 | 1 | 0.5% | +46.3% | +5457.9% |
| Jun 2000 | Jul 2000 | 2 | 4.7% | +56.8% | +5631.1% |
| Jul 2000 | Aug 2000 | 2 | 2.9% | +46.9% | +5477.4% |
| Sep 2000 | Nov 2000 | 8 | 1.7% | +37.8% | +5339.9% |
| Mar 2008 | Mar 2008 | 1 | 1.0% | -21.3% | +1412.4% |
| Sep 2008 | Oct 2009 | 54 | 38.8% | -1.5% | +1446.8% |
| Oct 2009 | Mar 2010 | 18 | 9.1% | -5.1% | +1403.6% |
| Mar 2010 | Mar 2010 | 2 | 0.5% | +9.9% | +1336.7% |
| May 2010 | Dec 2010 | 32 | 16.3% | +18.2% | +1411.4% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 13 | 16.6% | +27.8% | +1412.7% |
| Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | 7 | 9.2% | +24.6% | +596.6% |
| May 2016 | Nov 2016 | 27 | 11.8% | +23.6% | +563.4% |
| May 2017 | May 2017 | 1 | 0.5% | +39.4% | +489.8% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 7 | 22.3% | +90.9% | +365.1% |
| May 2020 | May 2020 | 1 | 3.7% | +100.5% | +351.1% |
| May 2022 | May 2022 | 1 | 0.6% | +20.6% | +210.4% |
| Jun 2022 | Jul 2022 | 5 | 7.4% | +40.5% | +231.8% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 5 | 7.4% | +44.6% | +217.9% |
| Average | 10 | — | +35.4% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ITT below its 200-week moving average?
No. ITT Inc. (ITT) is currently 47.3% above its 200-week moving average of $138.78. It would need to fall to $138.78 to cross below the line.
What is ITT's 200-week moving average price?
ITT Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $138.78 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when ITT drops below its 200-week moving average?
ITT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 22 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +35.4%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 10 weeks on average.
Is ITT a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about ITT as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 61. Return on equity is 11.6%. Price-to-book is 3.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does ITT compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 29.9 years, $100 invested in ITT would have grown to $7720, compared to $1675 for the S&P 500. That's 15.6% annualized vs 9.9% for the index. ITT has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does ITT pay a dividend?
Yes. ITT Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 76.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18