INVH
Invitation Homes Inc. Real Estate - REIT - Residential Investor Relations →
Invitation Homes Inc. (INVH) closed at $28.41 as of 2026-06-19, trading 5.3% below its 200-week moving average of $30.00. This places INVH in the deep value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -1.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 69, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.84 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 441 weeks of data, INVH has crossed below its 200-week moving average 15 times. On average, these episodes lasted 8 weeks. Historically, investors who bought INVH at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +16.9%.
With a market cap of $16.9 billion, INVH is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 6.0%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 6.2%. The stock trades at 1.9x book value.
Over the past 8.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in INVH would have grown to $162, compared to $302 for the S&P 500. INVH has returned 5.8% annualized vs 13.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 5.7% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: INVH vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After INVH Crosses Below the Line?
Across 15 historical episodes, buying INVH when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +14.2% after 12 months (median +9.0%), compared to +23.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 67% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +31.9% vs +39.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment INVH crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices INVH would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where INVH's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-07-29.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $21.86 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $23.58 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $25.60 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $27.99 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $30.87 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from INVH's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
INVH has crossed below its 200-week MA 15 times with an average 1-year return of +16.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2018 | Feb 2018 | 2 | 5.0% | +11.1% | +70.1% |
| Mar 2018 | Mar 2018 | 1 | 0.2% | +11.9% | +61.9% |
| May 2018 | May 2018 | 2 | 0.6% | +17.7% | +61.3% |
| Oct 2018 | Jan 2019 | 16 | 8.9% | +46.4% | +66.4% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 3 | 26.8% | +82.0% | +98.3% |
| Apr 2020 | May 2020 | 2 | 7.0% | +59.3% | +56.5% |
| Oct 2022 | Nov 2022 | 1 | 0.1% | +6.2% | +4.3% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 5 | 5.2% | +16.2% | +5.8% |
| Mar 2023 | Apr 2023 | 5 | 6.7% | +19.8% | +5.3% |
| Sep 2023 | Nov 2023 | 7 | 10.5% | +14.1% | -0.9% |
| Oct 2024 | Nov 2024 | 1 | 5.8% | -7.0% | -4.0% |
| Dec 2024 | Feb 2025 | 12 | 9.1% | -16.0% | -10.0% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 2 | 3.1% | -18.1% | -8.9% |
| May 2025 | May 2025 | 1 | 0.4% | -7.5% | -10.2% |
| Jun 2025 | Ongoing | 52+ | 20.5% | Ongoing | -9.5% |
| Average | 8 | — | +16.9% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is INVH below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, Invitation Homes Inc. (INVH) is trading 5.3% below its 200-week moving average of $30.00. The current price is $28.41.
What is INVH's 200-week moving average price?
Invitation Homes Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $30.00 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when INVH drops below its 200-week moving average?
INVH has crossed below its 200-week moving average 15 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +16.9%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 8 weeks on average.
Is INVH a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about INVH as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 69. Free cash flow yield is 6.0%. Return on equity is 6.2%. Price-to-book is 1.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does INVH compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 8.5 years, $100 invested in INVH would have grown to $162, compared to $302 for the S&P 500. That's 5.8% annualized vs 13.9% for the index. INVH has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does INVH pay a dividend?
Yes. Invitation Homes Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 414.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19