INTU
Intuit Inc. Technology - Software Investor Relations →
Intuit Inc. (INTU) closed at $267.00 as of 2026-06-19, trading 51.1% below its 200-week moving average of $546.31. This places INTU in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -49.4% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 24, INTU is in oversold territory.
Over the past 14 weeks, down-weeks have had more trading volume than up-weeks (0.66 buyers-vs-sellers ratio). That means when people are active, they're more often selling than buying. Sellers are still more in control than buyers.
Over the past 1688 weeks of data, INTU has crossed below its 200-week moving average 25 times. On average, these episodes lasted 8 weeks. Historically, investors who bought INTU at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +38.6%.
With a market cap of $73.0 billion, INTU is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 7.2%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 22.5%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 3.5x book value.
INTU passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 32.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in INTU would have grown to $8040, compared to $2835 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 14.5% vs 10.9% for the index — confirming INTU as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 1 open-market purchase totaling $541,665. Notably, these purchases occurred while INTU is trading below its 200-week moving average — insiders are buying when the market is most pessimistic.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 18.5% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: INTU vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After INTU Crosses Below the Line?
Across 25 historical episodes, buying INTU when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +35.8% after 12 months (median +28.0%), compared to +11.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 83% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +99.5% vs +30.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment INTU crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices INTU would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where INTU's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-08-20.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $298.71 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $320.58 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $345.90 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $375.57 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $410.80 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from INTU's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
INTU has crossed below its 200-week MA 25 times with an average 1-year return of +38.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1994 | Aug 1994 | 18 | 15.3% | +129.8% | +11344.7% |
| Sep 1996 | Nov 1996 | 9 | 18.8% | -20.3% | +5555.8% |
| Dec 1996 | Jan 1997 | 2 | 3.4% | +18.8% | +5600.0% |
| Jan 1997 | Dec 1997 | 47 | 36.9% | +18.0% | +5622.4% |
| Jan 1998 | Jan 1998 | 1 | 2.1% | +148.0% | +5092.9% |
| Aug 1998 | Sep 1998 | 3 | 4.6% | +139.0% | +4547.1% |
| Oct 1998 | Oct 1998 | 1 | 5.2% | +102.6% | +4592.0% |
| Mar 2001 | Apr 2001 | 3 | 6.3% | +38.2% | +2091.0% |
| Aug 2001 | Aug 2001 | 2 | 6.2% | +37.6% | +1886.9% |
| Sep 2001 | Sep 2001 | 1 | 2.3% | +38.4% | +1802.4% |
| Mar 2003 | May 2003 | 8 | 11.9% | +9.6% | +1470.2% |
| Jul 2003 | Aug 2003 | 4 | 5.7% | -11.7% | +1396.8% |
| Mar 2004 | Mar 2004 | 2 | 1.3% | +3.0% | +1324.2% |
| Apr 2004 | Aug 2004 | 19 | 16.1% | +0.6% | +1344.5% |
| Jan 2005 | Feb 2005 | 8 | 9.9% | +30.7% | +1373.2% |
| Apr 2005 | May 2005 | 4 | 6.5% | +27.4% | +1336.0% |
| May 2005 | Jun 2005 | 1 | 1.0% | +29.7% | +1317.9% |
| Oct 2005 | Oct 2005 | 2 | 2.4% | +56.3% | +1284.0% |
| Mar 2008 | Mar 2008 | 1 | 2.7% | -0.7% | +1091.2% |
| Jul 2008 | Jul 2008 | 1 | 1.2% | +3.2% | +1042.4% |
| Oct 2008 | Jun 2009 | 34 | 21.4% | +14.4% | +1113.6% |
| Jun 2009 | Jul 2009 | 3 | 1.9% | +23.2% | +991.6% |
| Aug 2009 | Oct 2009 | 6 | 2.2% | +52.6% | +980.7% |
| Oct 2022 | Nov 2022 | 1 | 2.2% | +39.0% | -24.2% |
| Jan 2026 | Ongoing | 23+ | 51.1% | Ongoing | -50.9% |
| Average | 8 | — | +38.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is INTU below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, Intuit Inc. (INTU) is trading 51.1% below its 200-week moving average of $546.31. The current price is $267.00.
What is INTU's 200-week moving average price?
Intuit Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $546.31 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when INTU drops below its 200-week moving average?
INTU has crossed below its 200-week moving average 25 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +38.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 8 weeks on average.
Is INTU a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about INTU as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 24 (oversold). Free cash flow yield is 7.2%. Return on equity is 22.5%. Price-to-book is 3.5x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does INTU compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 32.4 years, $100 invested in INTU would have grown to $8040, compared to $2835 for the S&P 500. That's 14.5% annualized vs 10.9% for the index. INTU has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does INTU pay a dividend?
Yes. Intuit Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 171.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19