INTU
Intuit Inc. Technology - Software Investor Relations →
Intuit Inc. (INTU) closed at $443.77 as of 2026-02-02, trading 19.4% below its 200-week moving average of $550.66. This places INTU in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -9.4% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 23, INTU is in oversold territory.
Over the past 1669 weeks of data, INTU has crossed below its 200-week moving average 25 times. On average, these episodes lasted 7 weeks. Historically, investors who bought INTU at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +38.6%.
With a market cap of $123.5 billion, INTU is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.1%. Return on equity stands at 22.0%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 6.4x book value.
Over the past 32.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in INTU would have grown to $13321, compared to $2608 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 16.5% vs 10.7% for the index — confirming INTU as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 18.5% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Growth of $100: INTU vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After INTU Crosses Below the Line?
Across 24 historical episodes, buying INTU when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +35.8% after 12 months (median +28.0%), compared to +11.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 83% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +99.5% vs +30.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment INTU crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
INTU has crossed below its 200-week MA 25 times with an average 1-year return of +38.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1994 | Aug 1994 | 18 | 15.3% | +129.8% | +18863.2% |
| Sep 1996 | Nov 1996 | 9 | 18.8% | -20.3% | +9271.3% |
| Dec 1996 | Jan 1997 | 2 | 3.4% | +18.8% | +9344.6% |
| Jan 1997 | Dec 1997 | 47 | 36.9% | +18.0% | +9381.6% |
| Jan 1998 | Jan 1998 | 1 | 2.1% | +148.0% | +8504.3% |
| Aug 1998 | Sep 1998 | 3 | 4.6% | +139.0% | +7600.0% |
| Oct 1998 | Oct 1998 | 1 | 5.2% | +102.6% | +7674.3% |
| Mar 2001 | Apr 2001 | 3 | 6.3% | +38.2% | +3530.3% |
| Aug 2001 | Aug 2001 | 2 | 6.2% | +37.6% | +3192.2% |
| Sep 2001 | Sep 2001 | 1 | 2.3% | +38.4% | +3052.1% |
| Mar 2003 | May 2003 | 8 | 11.9% | +9.6% | +2501.8% |
| Jul 2003 | Aug 2003 | 4 | 5.7% | -11.7% | +2380.1% |
| Mar 2004 | Mar 2004 | 2 | 1.3% | +3.0% | +2259.8% |
| Apr 2004 | Aug 2004 | 19 | 16.1% | +0.6% | +2293.5% |
| Jan 2005 | Feb 2005 | 8 | 9.9% | +30.7% | +2341.0% |
| Apr 2005 | May 2005 | 4 | 6.5% | +27.4% | +2279.4% |
| May 2005 | Jun 2005 | 1 | 1.0% | +29.7% | +2249.4% |
| Oct 2005 | Oct 2005 | 2 | 2.4% | +56.3% | +2193.2% |
| Mar 2008 | Mar 2008 | 1 | 2.7% | -0.7% | +1873.8% |
| Jul 2008 | Jul 2008 | 1 | 1.2% | +3.2% | +1792.9% |
| Oct 2008 | Jun 2009 | 34 | 21.4% | +14.4% | +1910.8% |
| Jun 2009 | Jul 2009 | 3 | 1.9% | +23.2% | +1708.7% |
| Aug 2009 | Oct 2009 | 6 | 2.2% | +52.6% | +1690.6% |
| Oct 2022 | Nov 2022 | 1 | 2.2% | +39.0% | +25.6% |
| Jan 2026 | Ongoing | 4+ | 19.4% | Ongoing | -18.6% |
| Average | 7 | — | +38.6% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02