INTC
Intel Corporation Technology - Semiconductors Investor Relations →
Intel Corporation (INTC) closed at $50.59 as of 2026-02-02, trading 63.1% above its 200-week moving average of $31.01. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 50.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 65, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 2346 weeks of data, INTC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 29 times. On average, these episodes lasted 24 weeks. Historically, investors who bought INTC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +2.6%.
With a market cap of $252.7 billion, INTC is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. The stock trades at 2.2x book value.
Share count has increased 20.7% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in INTC would have grown to $2716, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. INTC has returned 10.5% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: INTC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After INTC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 19 historical episodes, buying INTC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -4.9% after 12 months (median +4.0%), compared to +5.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 58% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +5.8% vs +11.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment INTC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
INTC has crossed below its 200-week MA 29 times with an average 1-year return of +2.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1981 | Apr 1981 | 7 | 13.1% | -27.1% | +24786.9% |
| Apr 1981 | Aug 1982 | 69 | 39.7% | -16.0% | +23127.8% |
| Sep 1982 | Oct 1982 | 1 | 2.1% | +150.0% | +26295.2% |
| Mar 1985 | Mar 1985 | 1 | 1.7% | +10.1% | +17496.8% |
| Jun 1985 | Jun 1985 | 3 | 7.1% | N/A | +16813.4% |
| Aug 1985 | Nov 1985 | 13 | 15.6% | -24.8% | +16491.3% |
| Jan 1986 | Jan 1986 | 1 | 1.5% | -10.0% | +15737.1% |
| Feb 1986 | Jan 1987 | 48 | 40.5% | +36.9% | +15594.4% |
| Nov 1988 | Dec 1988 | 5 | 11.3% | +71.6% | +14238.1% |
| Oct 1990 | Oct 1990 | 1 | 3.4% | +39.6% | +9578.2% |
| Dec 2000 | Jan 2001 | 5 | 9.4% | +2.8% | +174.2% |
| Feb 2001 | Oct 2003 | 142 | 62.2% | -2.7% | +165.5% |
| Nov 2003 | Dec 2003 | 6 | 4.3% | -24.8% | +172.5% |
| Jan 2004 | May 2004 | 17 | 11.5% | -26.7% | +188.6% |
| Jun 2004 | May 2005 | 44 | 22.4% | +0.6% | +233.5% |
| Oct 2005 | Oct 2005 | 4 | 3.4% | -11.7% | +263.8% |
| Jan 2006 | Jun 2007 | 73 | 25.2% | -2.3% | +296.9% |
| Jan 2008 | Apr 2008 | 14 | 14.7% | -33.9% | +277.5% |
| Jun 2008 | Jul 2008 | 3 | 5.0% | -21.6% | +281.6% |
| Sep 2008 | Aug 2009 | 51 | 39.2% | -1.4% | +295.4% |
| Sep 2009 | Oct 2009 | 1 | 0.9% | +5.0% | +315.0% |
| Nov 2009 | Nov 2009 | 1 | 0.6% | +15.6% | +315.9% |
| Aug 2010 | Sep 2010 | 5 | 6.0% | +5.0% | +304.0% |
| Nov 2012 | Dec 2012 | 2 | 2.7% | +25.9% | +258.7% |
| Dec 2012 | Dec 2012 | 1 | 0.3% | +31.6% | +249.7% |
| Oct 2020 | Nov 2020 | 4 | 4.6% | +13.6% | +27.3% |
| Oct 2021 | Dec 2021 | 7 | 3.3% | -43.7% | +11.1% |
| Jan 2022 | Nov 2023 | 94 | 47.1% | -38.7% | +14.3% |
| Apr 2024 | Sep 2025 | 77 | 51.9% | -48.2% | +32.1% |
| Average | 24 | — | +2.6% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02