INSW
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International Seaways, Inc. (INSW) closed at $111.15 as of 2026-09-18, trading 170.1% above its 200-week moving average of $41.15. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 154.5% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 80, INSW is in overbought territory.
A big jump in activity this week — 2.3x the usual volume, and the price went up. Significantly more people than usual decided to buy. This kind of surge, especially on a stock already below its 200-week average, can be an early sign that sentiment is shifting.
Over the past 465 weeks of data, INSW has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times. On average, these episodes lasted 8 weeks. Historically, investors who bought INSW at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +40.5%.
With a market cap of $5.5 billion, INSW is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 1.3%. Return on equity stands at 37.4%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 2.4x book value.
INSW passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in INSW would have grown to $986, compared to $340 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 29.0% vs 14.6% for the index — confirming INSW as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -39.4% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: INSW vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After INSW Crosses Below the Line?
Across 17 historical episodes, buying INSW when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +43.3% after 12 months (median +15.0%), compared to +11.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 82% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +81.4% vs +26.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment INSW crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices INSW would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where INSW's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-11-05.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $74.43 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $80.15 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $86.84 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $94.74 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $104.22 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | $5.27 | $5.91 | +12.0% |
| 2026-05-07 | $2.72 | $3.90 | +43.6% |
| 2026-02-26 | $1.97 | $2.45 | +24.3% |
| 2025-11-06 | $0.94 | $1.15 | +22.3% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from INSW's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
INSW has crossed below its 200-week MA 17 times with an average 1-year return of +40.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2017 | Jan 2018 | 7 | 10.4% | -0.6% | +1090.0% |
| Jan 2018 | Mar 2018 | 7 | 15.4% | N/A | +1006.3% |
| Mar 2018 | Apr 2018 | 3 | 4.7% | -2.7% | +1030.7% |
| May 2018 | May 2018 | 1 | 0.9% | +5.7% | +1011.1% |
| Sep 2018 | Sep 2018 | 2 | 4.1% | -3.5% | +997.9% |
| Nov 2018 | Apr 2019 | 22 | 13.3% | +36.9% | +1048.5% |
| Apr 2019 | May 2019 | 2 | 3.9% | +44.5% | +1027.6% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 5 | 8.3% | +16.1% | +999.1% |
| Jul 2019 | Sep 2019 | 10 | 15.5% | -5.5% | +1062.3% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 3 | 10.7% | -3.7% | +949.4% |
| Jun 2020 | Feb 2021 | 34 | 30.4% | +6.2% | +999.0% |
| Feb 2021 | Mar 2021 | 2 | 10.3% | +11.8% | +1063.6% |
| Mar 2021 | May 2021 | 5 | 8.0% | +6.7% | +954.1% |
| Jul 2021 | Nov 2021 | 17 | 11.0% | +6.0% | +952.6% |
| Nov 2021 | Feb 2022 | 14 | 22.6% | +199.2% | +1103.2% |
| Mar 2022 | Mar 2022 | 3 | 5.1% | +187.5% | +987.2% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 1 | 5.0% | +183.8% | +365.4% |
| Average | 8 | — | +40.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is INSW below its 200-week moving average?
No. International Seaways, Inc. (INSW) is currently 170.1% above its 200-week moving average of $41.15. It would need to fall to $41.15 to cross below the line.
What is INSW's 200-week moving average price?
International Seaways, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $41.15 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when INSW drops below its 200-week moving average?
INSW has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +40.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 8 weeks on average.
Is INSW a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about INSW as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 80 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 1.3%. Return on equity is 37.4%. Price-to-book is 2.4x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does INSW compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 9 years, $100 invested in INSW would have grown to $986, compared to $340 for the S&P 500. That's 29.0% annualized vs 14.6% for the index. INSW has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does INSW pay a dividend?
Yes. International Seaways, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 736.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18