INSG

Inseego Corp. Technology - Communication Equipment Investor Relations →

NO
3.4% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 10.2% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $9.97
14-Week RSI 46
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 0.9x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 0.60 — Sellers winning

Inseego Corp. (INSG) closed at $10.31 as of 2026-06-19, trading 3.4% above its 200-week moving average of $9.97. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 10.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 46, indicating neutral momentum.

Over the past 14 weeks, down-weeks have had more trading volume than up-weeks (0.60 buyers-vs-sellers ratio). That means when people are active, they're more often selling than buying. Sellers are still more in control than buyers.

Over the past 1286 weeks of data, INSG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times. On average, these episodes lasted 48 weeks. Historically, investors who bought INSG at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +4.8%.

With a market cap of $168 million, INSG is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.5%, which is healthy. The stock trades at -6.6x book value.

Share count has increased 41.9% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 24.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in INSG would have grown to $10, compared to $1104 for the S&P 500. INSG has returned -8.7% annualized vs 10.2% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: INSG vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After INSG Crosses Below the Line?

Across 19 historical episodes, buying INSG when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +2.2% after 12 months (median -25.0%), compared to +2.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 29% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -19.5% vs +8.1% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment INSG crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices INSG would reach each dislocation threshold.

Current Bean Score -0.22σ
Current FCF Yield 0.47%
Baseline Yield 0.45%
Historical σ 0.12pp

Dislocation Price Levels

Prices where INSG's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-08-06.

LevelσPriceSignal
Deep Value+2σ$7.28Unusually cheap — potential buy zone
Value+1σ$8.70Cheap vs. own history
Fair Value+0σ$10.82Historical mean behavior
Expensive-1σ$14.30Expensive vs. own history
Deep Expensive-2σ$21.09Unusually expensive — potential trim zone

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 22 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

11 / 13 weeks minimum

Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from INSG's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

⚠ Earnings quality deteriorating — net income is outrunning free cash flow vs this company's own norm. Cheapness signals here deserve extra scrutiny.
Yield Dislocation N/A Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score -0.30σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative +0.12σ Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration -9.7pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity 90th TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History +13.4pp Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Deteriorating Accrual gap trend (+17.6pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

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Historical Touches

INSG has crossed below its 200-week MA 19 times with an average 1-year return of +4.8% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Oct 2001Jun 200413898.0%-78.8%-89.6%
Jul 2004Sep 20041124.5%-45.8%-95.7%
Jan 2005May 20051614.7%-9.0%-91.5%
Feb 2006May 20061218.0%+28.1%-89.6%
Jun 2006Jul 2006412.1%+143.2%-89.6%
Jul 2006Jul 200613.3%+157.4%-90.2%
Aug 2006Aug 200636.1%+108.9%-90.4%
Sep 2006Feb 20072025.8%+135.2%-89.3%
Dec 2007Jan 200836.7%-66.3%-92.9%
Feb 2008Sep 20098375.6%-51.6%-92.6%
Sep 2009Sep 201426179.0%-30.1%-90.6%
Oct 2014Nov 2014416.1%-6.8%-61.1%
Dec 2014Dec 201413.1%-39.9%-63.6%
Jul 2015Aug 20165862.3%-43.0%-63.0%
Oct 2016Jan 20171110.1%-45.4%-60.6%
Mar 2017Aug 20187462.4%-5.9%-56.9%
Sep 2021Sep 202520996.8%-69.3%-84.7%
Nov 2025Jan 2026918.3%N/A-8.5%
Jan 2026Feb 202639.2%N/A-5.3%
Average48+4.8%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is INSG below its 200-week moving average?

No. Inseego Corp. (INSG) is currently 3.4% above its 200-week moving average of $9.97. It would need to fall to $9.97 to cross below the line.

What is INSG's 200-week moving average price?

Inseego Corp.'s 200-week moving average is $9.97 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when INSG drops below its 200-week moving average?

INSG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +4.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 48 weeks on average.

Is INSG a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about INSG as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 46. Free cash flow yield is 5.5%. Price-to-book is -6.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does INSG compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 24.8 years, $100 invested in INSG would have grown to $10, compared to $1104 for the S&P 500. That's -8.7% annualized vs 10.2% for the index. INSG has underperformed the broader market over this period.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-06-19