INSG
Inseego Corp. Technology - Communication Equipment Investor Relations →
Inseego Corp. (INSG) closed at $4.13 as of 2026-09-18, trading 54.3% below its 200-week moving average of $9.03. This places INSG in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -50.8% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 8, INSG is in oversold territory.
Over the past 14 weeks, down-weeks have had more trading volume than up-weeks (0.64 buyers-vs-sellers ratio). That means when people are active, they're more often selling than buying. Sellers are still more in control than buyers.
Over the past 1299 weeks of data, INSG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times. On average, these episodes lasted 47 weeks. Historically, investors who bought INSG at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +4.8%.
With a market cap of $67 million, INSG is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. The stock trades at -2.2x book value.
Share count has increased 41.9% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 25 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in INSG would have grown to $4, compared to $1129 for the S&P 500. INSG has returned -11.9% annualized vs 10.2% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: INSG vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After INSG Crosses Below the Line?
Across 20 historical episodes, buying INSG when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +2.2% after 12 months (median -25.0%), compared to +2.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 29% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -19.5% vs +8.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment INSG crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. INSG currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | $-0.12 | $-0.18 | -53.2% |
| 2026-05-07 | $-0.12 | $-0.06 | +51.4% |
| 2026-02-19 | $0.07 | $0.11 | +54.4% |
| 2025-11-06 | $0.17 | $0.12 | -25.2% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from INSG's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
INSG has crossed below its 200-week MA 20 times with an average 1-year return of +4.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2001 | Jun 2004 | 138 | 98.0% | -78.8% | -95.8% |
| Jul 2004 | Sep 2004 | 11 | 24.5% | -45.8% | -98.3% |
| Jan 2005 | May 2005 | 16 | 14.7% | -9.0% | -96.6% |
| Feb 2006 | May 2006 | 12 | 18.0% | +28.1% | -95.8% |
| Jun 2006 | Jul 2006 | 4 | 12.1% | +143.2% | -95.8% |
| Jul 2006 | Jul 2006 | 1 | 3.3% | +157.4% | -96.1% |
| Aug 2006 | Aug 2006 | 3 | 6.1% | +108.9% | -96.1% |
| Sep 2006 | Feb 2007 | 20 | 25.8% | +135.2% | -95.7% |
| Dec 2007 | Jan 2008 | 3 | 6.7% | -66.3% | -97.1% |
| Feb 2008 | Sep 2009 | 83 | 75.6% | -51.6% | -97.1% |
| Sep 2009 | Sep 2014 | 261 | 79.0% | -30.1% | -96.2% |
| Oct 2014 | Nov 2014 | 4 | 16.1% | -6.8% | -84.4% |
| Dec 2014 | Dec 2014 | 1 | 3.1% | -39.9% | -85.4% |
| Jul 2015 | Aug 2016 | 58 | 62.3% | -43.0% | -85.2% |
| Oct 2016 | Jan 2017 | 11 | 10.1% | -45.4% | -84.2% |
| Mar 2017 | Aug 2018 | 74 | 62.4% | -5.9% | -82.7% |
| Sep 2021 | Sep 2025 | 209 | 96.8% | -69.3% | -93.9% |
| Nov 2025 | Jan 2026 | 9 | 18.3% | N/A | -63.4% |
| Jan 2026 | Feb 2026 | 3 | 9.2% | N/A | -62.1% |
| Jun 2026 | Ongoing | 13+ | 54.3% | Ongoing | -57.8% |
| Average | 47 | — | +4.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is INSG below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-09-18, Inseego Corp. (INSG) is trading 54.3% below its 200-week moving average of $9.03. The current price is $4.13.
What is INSG's 200-week moving average price?
Inseego Corp.'s 200-week moving average is $9.03 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when INSG drops below its 200-week moving average?
INSG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +4.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 47 weeks on average.
Is INSG a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about INSG as of 2026-09-18: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 8 (oversold). Free cash flow is currently negative. Price-to-book is -2.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does INSG compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 25 years, $100 invested in INSG would have grown to $4, compared to $1129 for the S&P 500. That's -11.9% annualized vs 10.2% for the index. INSG has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18