INGR
Ingredion Incorporated Consumer Defensive - Packaged Foods Investor Relations →
Ingredion Incorporated (INGR) closed at $120.11 as of 2026-02-02, trading 11.8% above its 200-week moving average of $107.41. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 10.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 60, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 1421 weeks of data, INGR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times. On average, these episodes lasted 20 weeks. Historically, investors who bought INGR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +22.0%.
With a market cap of $7.6 billion, INGR is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.0%. Return on equity stands at 18.1%, a solid level. The stock trades at 1.8x book value.
Management has been repurchasing shares, with a 3.2% reduction over three years. INGR passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 27.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in INGR would have grown to $1392, compared to $957 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 10.1% vs 8.6% for the index — confirming INGR as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 131.1% compound annual rate, with 2 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Growth of $100: INGR vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After INGR Crosses Below the Line?
Across 17 historical episodes, buying INGR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +21.4% after 12 months (median +16.0%), compared to +10.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 88% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +42.3% vs +18.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment INGR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
INGR has crossed below its 200-week MA 17 times with an average 1-year return of +22.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1998 | May 1999 | 24 | 22.6% | +14.1% | +1298.6% |
| Oct 1999 | Oct 1999 | 1 | 0.7% | -20.7% | +1258.5% |
| Jan 2000 | Feb 2001 | 55 | 22.6% | +18.1% | +1557.7% |
| Feb 2001 | May 2001 | 13 | 9.9% | +12.5% | +1336.4% |
| Jul 2002 | Aug 2002 | 4 | 8.1% | +15.7% | +1302.2% |
| Sep 2002 | Sep 2002 | 1 | 0.3% | +20.7% | +1290.0% |
| Oct 2002 | Oct 2002 | 1 | 0.9% | +22.5% | +1298.6% |
| Mar 2003 | Mar 2003 | 2 | 1.2% | +40.8% | +1264.9% |
| Sep 2008 | Mar 2010 | 74 | 42.9% | +12.0% | +620.6% |
| May 2010 | Jun 2010 | 4 | 2.6% | +69.7% | +430.7% |
| Jun 2010 | Jul 2010 | 3 | 12.8% | +97.0% | +497.2% |
| Aug 2010 | Aug 2010 | 1 | 2.2% | +42.8% | +432.0% |
| Jul 2018 | Apr 2021 | 144 | 36.6% | -15.5% | +49.5% |
| Jun 2021 | Jun 2021 | 2 | 1.1% | -3.2% | +52.3% |
| Jul 2021 | Sep 2021 | 10 | 3.9% | +1.2% | +55.8% |
| Mar 2022 | Mar 2022 | 1 | 1.7% | +19.1% | +61.6% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 3 | 2.9% | +28.0% | +65.0% |
| Average | 20 | — | +22.0% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02