INGR
Ingredion Incorporated Consumer Defensive - Packaged Foods Investor Relations →
Ingredion Incorporated (INGR) closed at $109.16 as of 2026-03-20, trading 0.7% above its 200-week moving average of $108.44. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 3.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 46, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.8x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.79 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1427 weeks of data, INGR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times. On average, these episodes lasted 20 weeks. Historically, investors who bought INGR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +22.0%.
With a market cap of $6.9 billion, INGR is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.2%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 18.1%, a solid level. The stock trades at 1.6x book value.
Management has been repurchasing shares, with a 4.1% reduction over three years. INGR passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 27.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in INGR would have grown to $1266, compared to $902 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 9.7% vs 8.4% for the index — confirming INGR as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: INGR vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After INGR Crosses Below the Line?
Across 17 historical episodes, buying INGR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +21.4% after 12 months (median +16.0%), compared to +10.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 88% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +42.3% vs +18.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment INGR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
INGR has crossed below its 200-week MA 17 times with an average 1-year return of +22.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1998 | May 1999 | 24 | 22.6% | +14.1% | +1171.1% |
| Oct 1999 | Oct 1999 | 1 | 0.7% | -20.7% | +1134.6% |
| Jan 2000 | Feb 2001 | 55 | 22.6% | +18.1% | +1406.5% |
| Feb 2001 | May 2001 | 13 | 9.9% | +12.5% | +1205.4% |
| Jul 2002 | Aug 2002 | 4 | 8.1% | +15.7% | +1174.4% |
| Sep 2002 | Sep 2002 | 1 | 0.3% | +20.7% | +1163.3% |
| Oct 2002 | Oct 2002 | 1 | 0.9% | +22.5% | +1171.1% |
| Mar 2003 | Mar 2003 | 2 | 1.2% | +40.8% | +1140.5% |
| Sep 2008 | Mar 2010 | 74 | 42.9% | +12.0% | +554.9% |
| May 2010 | Jun 2010 | 4 | 2.6% | +69.7% | +382.3% |
| Jun 2010 | Jul 2010 | 3 | 12.8% | +97.0% | +442.8% |
| Aug 2010 | Aug 2010 | 1 | 2.2% | +42.8% | +383.5% |
| Jul 2018 | Apr 2021 | 144 | 36.6% | -15.5% | +35.9% |
| Jun 2021 | Jun 2021 | 2 | 1.1% | -3.2% | +38.4% |
| Jul 2021 | Sep 2021 | 10 | 3.9% | +1.2% | +41.6% |
| Mar 2022 | Mar 2022 | 1 | 1.7% | +19.1% | +46.9% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 3 | 2.9% | +28.0% | +50.0% |
| Average | 20 | — | +22.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is INGR below its 200-week moving average?
No. Ingredion Incorporated (INGR) is currently 0.7% above its 200-week moving average of $108.44. It would need to fall to $108.44 to cross below the line.
What is INGR's 200-week moving average price?
Ingredion Incorporated's 200-week moving average is $108.44 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when INGR drops below its 200-week moving average?
INGR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +22.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 20 weeks on average.
Is INGR a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about INGR as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 46. Free cash flow yield is 5.2%. Return on equity is 18.1%. Price-to-book is 1.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does INGR compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 27.4 years, $100 invested in INGR would have grown to $1266, compared to $902 for the S&P 500. That's 9.7% annualized vs 8.4% for the index. INGR has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does INGR pay a dividend?
Yes. Ingredion Incorporated currently pays a dividend yield of 300.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20