INFY
Infosys Limited Technology - IT Services Investor Relations →
Infosys Limited (INFY) closed at $10.57 as of 2026-06-19, trading 37.1% below its 200-week moving average of $16.82. This places INFY in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -31.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 36, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.8x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.76 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1375 weeks of data, INFY has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times. On average, these episodes lasted 17 weeks. Historically, investors who bought INFY at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +5.8%.
With a market cap of $42.8 billion, INFY is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 7.4%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 31.4%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 8.7x book value.
Management has been repurchasing shares, with a 2.2% reduction over three years. INFY passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 26.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in INFY would have grown to $169, compared to $867 for the S&P 500. INFY has returned 2.0% annualized vs 8.5% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 13.8% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: INFY vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After INFY Crosses Below the Line?
Across 24 historical episodes, buying INFY when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +10.5% after 12 months (median +9.0%), compared to +8.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 64% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +38.4% vs +19.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment INFY crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from INFY's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
INFY has crossed below its 200-week MA 24 times with an average 1-year return of +5.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2000 | Aug 2000 | 1 | 2.3% | -42.9% | +379.6% |
| Oct 2000 | Oct 2000 | 2 | 2.4% | -68.3% | +369.5% |
| Dec 2000 | Dec 2003 | 157 | 68.3% | -34.0% | +466.4% |
| Jan 2008 | Jan 2008 | 1 | 2.2% | -25.5% | +245.5% |
| Feb 2008 | Apr 2008 | 7 | 14.7% | -36.4% | +237.5% |
| Jul 2008 | Aug 2008 | 4 | 6.3% | -4.4% | +239.2% |
| Sep 2008 | Jul 2009 | 46 | 43.6% | +15.7% | +228.4% |
| Sep 2011 | Sep 2011 | 1 | 0.7% | -1.3% | +162.0% |
| Apr 2012 | Jan 2013 | 39 | 19.9% | -10.5% | +150.1% |
| Feb 2013 | Feb 2013 | 1 | 1.4% | +17.4% | +134.2% |
| Mar 2013 | Oct 2013 | 29 | 24.4% | +4.7% | +129.9% |
| Apr 2014 | Jun 2014 | 7 | 2.4% | +23.7% | +125.3% |
| Nov 2016 | Dec 2016 | 4 | 5.1% | +6.4% | +90.8% |
| Jan 2017 | Feb 2017 | 5 | 6.0% | +19.3% | +90.9% |
| Apr 2017 | Jul 2017 | 13 | 3.9% | +18.1% | +91.2% |
| Aug 2017 | Nov 2017 | 13 | 4.8% | +48.1% | +84.4% |
| Nov 2017 | Dec 2017 | 1 | 0.5% | +35.7% | +78.7% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 6 | 19.4% | +131.3% | +50.1% |
| Apr 2023 | Jul 2023 | 13 | 7.8% | +19.9% | -22.4% |
| Oct 2023 | Nov 2023 | 3 | 2.2% | +37.6% | -29.3% |
| Apr 2024 | Jun 2024 | 8 | 7.1% | -1.7% | -35.3% |
| Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | 15 | 14.3% | -25.8% | -39.6% |
| Jul 2025 | Dec 2025 | 21 | 12.9% | N/A | -39.7% |
| Jan 2026 | Ongoing | 21+ | 37.2% | Ongoing | -38.6% |
| Average | 17 | — | +5.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is INFY below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, Infosys Limited (INFY) is trading 37.1% below its 200-week moving average of $16.82. The current price is $10.57.
What is INFY's 200-week moving average price?
Infosys Limited's 200-week moving average is $16.82 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when INFY drops below its 200-week moving average?
INFY has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +5.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 17 weeks on average.
Is INFY a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about INFY as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 36. Free cash flow yield is 7.4%. Return on equity is 31.4%. Price-to-book is 8.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does INFY compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 26.4 years, $100 invested in INFY would have grown to $169, compared to $867 for the S&P 500. That's 2.0% annualized vs 8.5% for the index. INFY has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does INFY pay a dividend?
Yes. Infosys Limited currently pays a dividend yield of 432.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19