INFY
Infosys Limited Technology - IT Services Investor Relations →
Infosys Limited (INFY) closed at $10.82 as of 2026-09-18, trading 34.5% below its 200-week moving average of $16.52. This places INFY in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -33.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 43, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.19 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1388 weeks of data, INFY has crossed below its 200-week moving average 25 times. On average, these episodes lasted 17 weeks. Historically, investors who bought INFY at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +4.8%.
With a market cap of $43.8 billion, INFY is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 7.2%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 32.0%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 9.1x book value.
Management has been repurchasing shares, with a 2.2% reduction over three years. INFY passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 26.7 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in INFY would have grown to $173, compared to $887 for the S&P 500. INFY has returned 2.1% annualized vs 8.5% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 13.8% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: INFY vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After INFY Crosses Below the Line?
Across 25 historical episodes, buying INFY when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +10.0% after 12 months (median +9.0%), compared to +8.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 62% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +39.1% vs +19.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment INFY crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices INFY would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where INFY's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-10-23.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $9.22 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $9.94 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $10.79 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $11.80 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $13.01 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | $0.20 | $0.20 | -1.6% |
| 2026-04-23 | $0.21 | $0.23 | +10.8% |
| 2026-01-14 | $0.20 | $0.21 | +2.9% |
| 2025-10-16 | $0.20 | $0.20 | -0.1% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from INFY's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
INFY has crossed below its 200-week MA 25 times with an average 1-year return of +4.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2000 | Aug 2000 | 1 | 2.3% | -42.9% | +391.0% |
| Oct 2000 | Oct 2000 | 2 | 2.4% | -68.3% | +380.6% |
| Dec 2000 | Dec 2003 | 157 | 68.3% | -34.0% | +479.8% |
| Jan 2008 | Jan 2008 | 1 | 2.2% | -25.5% | +253.7% |
| Feb 2008 | Apr 2008 | 7 | 14.7% | -36.4% | +245.5% |
| Jul 2008 | Aug 2008 | 4 | 6.3% | -4.4% | +247.2% |
| Sep 2008 | Jul 2009 | 46 | 43.6% | +15.7% | +236.2% |
| Sep 2011 | Sep 2011 | 1 | 0.8% | -1.3% | +168.2% |
| Apr 2012 | Jan 2013 | 39 | 19.9% | -10.5% | +156.0% |
| Feb 2013 | Feb 2013 | 1 | 1.4% | +17.4% | +139.7% |
| Mar 2013 | Oct 2013 | 29 | 24.4% | +4.7% | +135.3% |
| Apr 2014 | Jun 2014 | 7 | 2.4% | +23.7% | +130.6% |
| Nov 2016 | Dec 2016 | 4 | 5.2% | +6.4% | +95.3% |
| Jan 2017 | Feb 2017 | 5 | 6.1% | +19.3% | +95.5% |
| Apr 2017 | May 2017 | 6 | 3.9% | +18.1% | +95.7% |
| Jun 2017 | Jul 2017 | 5 | 2.3% | +27.0% | +86.7% |
| Aug 2017 | Nov 2017 | 13 | 4.8% | +48.1% | +88.8% |
| Nov 2017 | Dec 2017 | 1 | 0.5% | +35.7% | +82.9% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 6 | 19.4% | +131.3% | +53.6% |
| Apr 2023 | Jul 2023 | 13 | 7.8% | +19.9% | -20.6% |
| Oct 2023 | Nov 2023 | 3 | 0.9% | +35.8% | -28.6% |
| Apr 2024 | Jun 2024 | 8 | 6.0% | -1.7% | -33.7% |
| Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | 15 | 14.3% | -25.8% | -38.2% |
| Jul 2025 | Dec 2025 | 21 | 13.0% | -37.6% | -38.3% |
| Jan 2026 | Ongoing | 34+ | 37.2% | Ongoing | -37.1% |
| Average | 17 | — | +4.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is INFY below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-09-18, Infosys Limited (INFY) is trading 34.5% below its 200-week moving average of $16.52. The current price is $10.82.
What is INFY's 200-week moving average price?
Infosys Limited's 200-week moving average is $16.52 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when INFY drops below its 200-week moving average?
INFY has crossed below its 200-week moving average 25 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +4.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 17 weeks on average.
Is INFY a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about INFY as of 2026-09-18: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 43. Free cash flow yield is 7.2%. Return on equity is 32.0%. Price-to-book is 9.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does INFY compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 26.7 years, $100 invested in INFY would have grown to $173, compared to $887 for the S&P 500. That's 2.1% annualized vs 8.5% for the index. INFY has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does INFY pay a dividend?
Yes. Infosys Limited currently pays a dividend yield of 484.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18