ILPT
Industrial Logistics Properties Trust Real Estate - REIT - Industrial Investor Relations →
Industrial Logistics Properties Trust (ILPT) closed at $8.10 as of 2026-06-19, trading 90.0% above its 200-week moving average of $4.26. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 111.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 66, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.5x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.27 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 392 weeks of data, ILPT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 4 times. On average, these episodes lasted 56 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -4.5%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $540 million, ILPT is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 26.7%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at -9.6%. The stock trades at 1.1x book value.
This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 7.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ILPT would have grown to $55, compared to $336 for the S&P 500. ILPT has returned -7.5% annualized vs 17.3% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -10% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: ILPT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ILPT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 4 historical episodes, buying ILPT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +3.0% after 12 months (median +24.0%), compared to +24.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 75% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +13.0% vs +51.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ILPT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices ILPT would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where ILPT's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-07-28.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $4.70 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $5.37 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $6.27 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $7.53 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $9.41 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from ILPT's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
ILPT has crossed below its 200-week MA 4 times with an average 1-year return of +-4.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 6 | 13.6% | +23.5% | -41.8% |
| Feb 2019 | Jun 2019 | 17 | 7.5% | +6.9% | -48.8% |
| Mar 2020 | Jun 2020 | 12 | 28.8% | +40.0% | -44.2% |
| Apr 2022 | Dec 2025 | 190 | 89.1% | -88.6% | -56.0% |
| Average | 56 | — | +-4.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ILPT below its 200-week moving average?
No. Industrial Logistics Properties Trust (ILPT) is currently 90.0% above its 200-week moving average of $4.26. It would need to fall to $4.26 to cross below the line.
What is ILPT's 200-week moving average price?
Industrial Logistics Properties Trust's 200-week moving average is $4.26 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when ILPT drops below its 200-week moving average?
ILPT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 4 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -4.5%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 56 weeks on average.
Is ILPT a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about ILPT as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 66. Free cash flow yield is 26.7%. Return on equity is -9.6%. Price-to-book is 1.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does ILPT compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 7.6 years, $100 invested in ILPT would have grown to $55, compared to $336 for the S&P 500. That's -7.5% annualized vs 17.3% for the index. ILPT has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does ILPT pay a dividend?
Yes. Industrial Logistics Properties Trust currently pays a dividend yield of 231.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19