IHG
InterContinental Hotels Group PLC Consumer Discretionary - Hotels Investor Relations →
InterContinental Hotels Group PLC (IHG) closed at $171.02 as of 2026-06-19, trading 74.2% above its 200-week moving average of $98.15. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 71.3% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 91, IHG is in overbought territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.06 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1162 weeks of data, IHG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times. On average, these episodes lasted 18 weeks. Historically, investors who bought IHG at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +21.7%.
With a market cap of $25.4 billion, IHG is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.7%. The stock trades at -56.3x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 14.2% over the past three years.
Over the past 22.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in IHG would have grown to $1780, compared to $997 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 13.8% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming IHG as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 14.5% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: IHG vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After IHG Crosses Below the Line?
Across 11 historical episodes, buying IHG when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +20.9% after 12 months (median +32.0%), compared to +12.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 82% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +50.9% vs +27.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment IHG crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from IHG's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
IHG has crossed below its 200-week MA 11 times with an average 1-year return of +21.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2007 | Mar 2010 | 123 | 65.9% | -63.5% | +1004.2% |
| May 2010 | May 2010 | 1 | 3.8% | +41.1% | +1182.8% |
| May 2010 | Jun 2010 | 1 | 0.1% | +32.2% | +1137.9% |
| Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | 5 | 2.0% | +42.3% | +483.3% |
| May 2016 | May 2016 | 1 | 7.5% | +69.3% | +497.2% |
| Feb 2020 | Aug 2020 | 26 | 44.5% | +27.1% | +240.2% |
| Sep 2020 | Nov 2020 | 9 | 10.3% | +12.7% | +236.1% |
| Dec 2021 | Dec 2021 | 1 | 1.4% | +1.2% | +213.5% |
| May 2022 | May 2022 | 1 | 1.1% | +16.2% | +210.3% |
| Jun 2022 | Aug 2022 | 9 | 12.4% | +22.7% | +219.8% |
| Aug 2022 | Jan 2023 | 19 | 20.3% | +37.5% | +231.3% |
| Average | 18 | — | +21.7% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IHG below its 200-week moving average?
No. InterContinental Hotels Group PLC (IHG) is currently 74.2% above its 200-week moving average of $98.15. It would need to fall to $98.15 to cross below the line.
What is IHG's 200-week moving average price?
InterContinental Hotels Group PLC's 200-week moving average is $98.15 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when IHG drops below its 200-week moving average?
IHG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +21.7%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 18 weeks on average.
Is IHG a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about IHG as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 91 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 2.7%. Price-to-book is -56.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does IHG compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 22.3 years, $100 invested in IHG would have grown to $1780, compared to $997 for the S&P 500. That's 13.8% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. IHG has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does IHG pay a dividend?
Yes. InterContinental Hotels Group PLC currently pays a dividend yield of 108.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19