IHG
InterContinental Hotels Group PLC Consumer Discretionary - Hotels Investor Relations →
InterContinental Hotels Group PLC (IHG) closed at $144.83 as of 2026-02-02, trading 60.2% above its 200-week moving average of $90.42. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 52.5% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 79, IHG is in overbought territory.
Over the past 1143 weeks of data, IHG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times. On average, these episodes lasted 18 weeks. Historically, investors who bought IHG at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +21.7%.
With a market cap of $21.8 billion, IHG is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.1%. The stock trades at -8.6x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 14.5% over the past three years.
Over the past 22 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in IHG would have grown to $1494, compared to $917 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 13.1% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming IHG as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: IHG vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After IHG Crosses Below the Line?
Across 11 historical episodes, buying IHG when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +20.9% after 12 months (median +32.0%), compared to +12.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 82% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +50.9% vs +27.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment IHG crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
IHG has crossed below its 200-week MA 11 times with an average 1-year return of +21.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2007 | Mar 2010 | 123 | 65.9% | -63.5% | +826.9% |
| May 2010 | May 2010 | 1 | 3.8% | +41.1% | +976.8% |
| May 2010 | Jun 2010 | 1 | 0.1% | +32.2% | +939.1% |
| Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | 5 | 2.0% | +42.3% | +389.6% |
| May 2016 | May 2016 | 1 | 7.5% | +69.3% | +401.3% |
| Feb 2020 | Aug 2020 | 26 | 44.5% | +27.1% | +185.6% |
| Sep 2020 | Nov 2020 | 9 | 10.3% | +12.7% | +182.1% |
| Dec 2021 | Dec 2021 | 1 | 1.4% | +1.2% | +163.1% |
| May 2022 | May 2022 | 1 | 1.1% | +16.2% | +160.4% |
| Jun 2022 | Aug 2022 | 9 | 12.4% | +22.7% | +168.4% |
| Aug 2022 | Jan 2023 | 19 | 20.3% | +37.5% | +178.1% |
| Average | 18 | — | +21.7% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02