IDT
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IDT Corporation (IDT) closed at $55.42 as of 2026-06-19, trading 36.5% above its 200-week moving average of $40.59. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 34.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 70, indicating neutral momentum.
A big jump in activity this week — 2.3x the usual volume, and the price went up. Significantly more people than usual decided to buy. This kind of surge, especially on a stock already below its 200-week average, can be an early sign that sentiment is shifting.
Over the past 1261 weeks of data, IDT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times. On average, these episodes lasted 41 weeks. Historically, investors who bought IDT at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +59.0%.
With a market cap of $1378 million, IDT is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.5%. Return on equity stands at 25.2%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 3.9x book value.
IDT passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 24.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in IDT would have grown to $488, compared to $1076 for the S&P 500. IDT has returned 6.8% annualized vs 10.3% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 141.7% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: IDT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After IDT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 12 historical episodes, buying IDT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +25.6% after 12 months (median +6.0%), compared to +17.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 50% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +79.0% vs +33.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment IDT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices IDT would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where IDT's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-01-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $44.30 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $46.65 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $49.26 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $52.19 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $55.48 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from IDT's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
IDT has crossed below its 200-week MA 12 times with an average 1-year return of +59.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2003 | Mar 2003 | 1 | 0.8% | +37.7% | +498.0% |
| Mar 2003 | May 2003 | 6 | 3.5% | +41.6% | +498.4% |
| Jul 2004 | Jul 2010 | 310 | 97.5% | -17.5% | +448.6% |
| Nov 2015 | Feb 2016 | 15 | 14.6% | +106.3% | +621.9% |
| Mar 2017 | Apr 2017 | 3 | 5.6% | +2.5% | +483.3% |
| Oct 2017 | Oct 2017 | 1 | 1.3% | -24.1% | +440.4% |
| Oct 2017 | Nov 2017 | 1 | 0.9% | -32.5% | +437.1% |
| Dec 2017 | Jun 2019 | 81 | 51.4% | -22.2% | +501.2% |
| Aug 2019 | Sep 2019 | 5 | 11.1% | -21.8% | +549.9% |
| Sep 2019 | Sep 2020 | 52 | 45.0% | +5.5% | +518.4% |
| Nov 2020 | Nov 2020 | 1 | 0.8% | +579.4% | +574.1% |
| Jul 2023 | Oct 2023 | 12 | 11.1% | +52.7% | +136.4% |
| Average | 41 | — | +59.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IDT below its 200-week moving average?
No. IDT Corporation (IDT) is currently 36.5% above its 200-week moving average of $40.59. It would need to fall to $40.59 to cross below the line.
What is IDT's 200-week moving average price?
IDT Corporation's 200-week moving average is $40.59 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when IDT drops below its 200-week moving average?
IDT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +59.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 41 weeks on average.
Is IDT a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about IDT as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 70. Free cash flow yield is 2.5%. Return on equity is 25.2%. Price-to-book is 3.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does IDT compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 24.2 years, $100 invested in IDT would have grown to $488, compared to $1076 for the S&P 500. That's 6.8% annualized vs 10.3% for the index. IDT has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does IDT pay a dividend?
Yes. IDT Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 48.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19