ICFI
ICF International, Inc. Industrials - Consulting Services Investor Relations →
ICF International, Inc. (ICFI) closed at $73.36 as of 2026-05-01, trading 34.9% below its 200-week moving average of $112.73. This places ICFI in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -40.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 30, indicating neutral momentum.
A big jump in activity this week — 2.4x the usual volume, and the price went up. Significantly more people than usual decided to buy. This kind of surge, especially on a stock already below its 200-week average, can be an early sign that sentiment is shifting.
Over the past 974 weeks of data, ICFI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 14 times. On average, these episodes lasted 14 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ICFI at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +34.4%.
With a market cap of $1329 million, ICFI is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.8%. Return on equity stands at 9.1%. The stock trades at 1.3x book value.
Over the past 18.7 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ICFI would have grown to $280, compared to $666 for the S&P 500. ICFI has returned 5.7% annualized vs 10.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -4.4% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: ICFI vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ICFI Crosses Below the Line?
Across 14 historical episodes, buying ICFI when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +26.9% after 12 months (median +39.0%), compared to +21.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 86% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +44.7% vs +31.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ICFI crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
ICFI has crossed below its 200-week MA 14 times with an average 1-year return of +34.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2008 | Dec 2008 | 38 | 22.6% | +17.7% | +285.9% |
| May 2010 | Jun 2010 | 5 | 3.0% | +15.4% | +251.4% |
| Aug 2010 | Sep 2010 | 5 | 2.9% | -5.8% | +245.3% |
| Feb 2011 | Apr 2011 | 9 | 11.2% | +16.1% | +228.7% |
| Jul 2011 | Oct 2011 | 13 | 20.1% | +6.9% | +230.8% |
| Apr 2012 | Jul 2012 | 10 | 8.0% | +22.9% | +248.2% |
| Jul 2012 | Feb 2013 | 28 | 25.5% | +59.3% | +251.9% |
| Sep 2015 | Nov 2015 | 5 | 3.9% | +47.0% | +156.3% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 | 7.6% | +55.3% | +31.8% |
| May 2020 | May 2020 | 2 | 9.2% | +63.5% | +31.9% |
| Jun 2020 | Jul 2020 | 7 | 5.9% | +52.5% | +21.7% |
| Sep 2020 | Oct 2020 | 2 | 3.8% | +42.3% | +20.6% |
| Oct 2020 | Nov 2020 | 1 | 0.2% | +54.7% | +15.6% |
| Feb 2025 | Ongoing | 65+ | 43.0% | Ongoing | -36.4% |
| Average | 14 | — | +34.4% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ICFI below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-05-01, ICF International, Inc. (ICFI) is trading 34.9% below its 200-week moving average of $112.73. The current price is $73.36.
What is ICFI's 200-week moving average price?
ICF International, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $112.73 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when ICFI drops below its 200-week moving average?
ICFI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 14 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +34.4%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 14 weeks on average.
Is ICFI a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about ICFI as of 2026-05-01: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 30. Free cash flow yield is 4.8%. Return on equity is 9.1%. Price-to-book is 1.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does ICFI compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 18.7 years, $100 invested in ICFI would have grown to $280, compared to $666 for the S&P 500. That's 5.7% annualized vs 10.7% for the index. ICFI has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does ICFI pay a dividend?
Yes. ICF International, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 76.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-01