ICFI
ICF International, Inc. Industrials - Consulting Services Investor Relations →
ICF International, Inc. (ICFI) closed at $65.89 as of 2026-03-20, trading 42.1% below its 200-week moving average of $113.75. This places ICFI in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -38.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 32, indicating neutral momentum.
A big spike in selling this week — 2.0x the usual volume, and the price dropped. Sometimes this kind of heavy selling marks the end of a decline. The idea is that the last reluctant holders have finally sold, leaving fewer sellers left to push the price lower.
Over the past 968 weeks of data, ICFI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 14 times. On average, these episodes lasted 13 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ICFI at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +34.4%.
With a market cap of $1215 million, ICFI is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.3%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 9.1%. The stock trades at 1.2x book value.
Management has been repurchasing shares, with a 3.4% reduction over three years. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 18.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ICFI would have grown to $251, compared to $601 for the S&P 500. ICFI has returned 5.1% annualized vs 10.1% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -4.4% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: ICFI vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ICFI Crosses Below the Line?
Across 14 historical episodes, buying ICFI when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +26.9% after 12 months (median +39.0%), compared to +21.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 86% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +44.7% vs +31.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ICFI crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
ICFI has crossed below its 200-week MA 14 times with an average 1-year return of +34.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2008 | Dec 2008 | 38 | 22.6% | +17.7% | +245.9% |
| May 2010 | Jun 2010 | 5 | 3.0% | +15.4% | +214.9% |
| Aug 2010 | Sep 2010 | 5 | 2.9% | -5.8% | +209.4% |
| Feb 2011 | Apr 2011 | 9 | 11.2% | +16.1% | +194.6% |
| Jul 2011 | Oct 2011 | 13 | 20.1% | +6.9% | +196.5% |
| Apr 2012 | Jul 2012 | 10 | 8.0% | +22.9% | +212.1% |
| Jul 2012 | Feb 2013 | 28 | 25.5% | +59.3% | +215.4% |
| Sep 2015 | Nov 2015 | 5 | 3.9% | +47.0% | +129.7% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 | 7.6% | +55.3% | +18.1% |
| May 2020 | May 2020 | 2 | 9.2% | +63.5% | +18.2% |
| Jun 2020 | Jul 2020 | 7 | 5.9% | +52.5% | +9.1% |
| Sep 2020 | Oct 2020 | 2 | 3.8% | +42.3% | +8.1% |
| Oct 2020 | Nov 2020 | 1 | 0.2% | +54.7% | +3.6% |
| Feb 2025 | Ongoing | 59+ | 42.1% | Ongoing | -43.0% |
| Average | 13 | — | +34.4% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ICFI below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, ICF International, Inc. (ICFI) is trading 42.1% below its 200-week moving average of $113.75. The current price is $65.89.
What is ICFI's 200-week moving average price?
ICF International, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $113.75 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when ICFI drops below its 200-week moving average?
ICFI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 14 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +34.4%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 13 weeks on average.
Is ICFI a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about ICFI as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 32. Free cash flow yield is 5.3%. Return on equity is 9.1%. Price-to-book is 1.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does ICFI compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 18.6 years, $100 invested in ICFI would have grown to $251, compared to $601 for the S&P 500. That's 5.1% annualized vs 10.1% for the index. ICFI has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does ICFI pay a dividend?
Yes. ICF International, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 85.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20