ICFI
ICF International, Inc. Industrials - Consulting Services Investor Relations →
ICF International, Inc. (ICFI) closed at $87.07 as of 2026-02-02, trading 23.9% below its 200-week moving average of $114.35. This places ICFI in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -18.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 59, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 962 weeks of data, ICFI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 14 times. On average, these episodes lasted 13 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ICFI at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +34.4%.
With a market cap of $1605 million, ICFI is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.3%. Return on equity stands at 9.9%. The stock trades at 1.6x book value.
Over the past 18.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ICFI would have grown to $332, compared to $638 for the S&P 500. ICFI has returned 6.7% annualized vs 10.5% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 18.5% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Growth of $100: ICFI vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ICFI Crosses Below the Line?
Across 14 historical episodes, buying ICFI when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +27.2% after 12 months (median +39.0%), compared to +21.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 86% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +44.7% vs +31.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ICFI crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
ICFI has crossed below its 200-week MA 14 times with an average 1-year return of +34.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2008 | Dec 2008 | 38 | 22.6% | +17.7% | +357.1% |
| May 2010 | Jun 2010 | 5 | 3.0% | +15.4% | +316.2% |
| Aug 2010 | Sep 2010 | 5 | 2.9% | -5.8% | +308.9% |
| Feb 2011 | Apr 2011 | 9 | 11.2% | +16.1% | +289.2% |
| Jul 2011 | Oct 2011 | 13 | 20.1% | +6.9% | +291.7% |
| Apr 2012 | Jul 2012 | 10 | 8.0% | +22.9% | +312.4% |
| Jul 2012 | Feb 2013 | 28 | 25.5% | +59.3% | +316.7% |
| Sep 2015 | Nov 2015 | 5 | 3.9% | +47.0% | +203.5% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 | 7.6% | +55.3% | +56.0% |
| May 2020 | May 2020 | 2 | 9.2% | +63.5% | +56.2% |
| Jun 2020 | Jul 2020 | 7 | 5.9% | +52.5% | +44.2% |
| Sep 2020 | Oct 2020 | 2 | 3.8% | +42.3% | +42.8% |
| Oct 2020 | Nov 2020 | 1 | 0.2% | +54.7% | +37.0% |
| Feb 2025 | Ongoing | 53+ | 32.0% | Ongoing | -24.6% |
| Average | 13 | — | +34.4% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02