IBP
Installed Building Products, Inc. Consumer Cyclical - Residential Construction Investor Relations →
Installed Building Products, Inc. (IBP) closed at $197.63 as of 2026-09-18, trading 2.8% above its 200-week moving average of $192.23. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 6.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 46, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 2.0x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.09 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 609 weeks of data, IBP has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times. On average, these episodes lasted 7 weeks. Historically, investors who bought IBP at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +79.1%.
With a market cap of $5.3 billion, IBP is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.5%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 38.5%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 8.2x book value.
Over the past 11.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in IBP would have grown to $1216, compared to $464 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 23.7% vs 13.9% for the index — confirming IBP as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 9% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: IBP vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After IBP Crosses Below the Line?
Across 6 historical episodes, buying IBP when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +103.0% after 12 months (median +64.0%), compared to +21.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +172.3% vs +49.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment IBP crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices IBP would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where IBP's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-11-04.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $168.87 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $188.10 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $212.29 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $243.61 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $285.78 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | $2.56 | $2.91 | +13.6% |
| 2026-05-07 | $1.96 | $1.79 | -8.7% |
| 2026-02-26 | $2.75 | $3.24 | +18.0% |
| 2025-11-05 | $2.74 | $3.18 | +16.0% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from IBP's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
IBP has crossed below its 200-week MA 6 times with an average 1-year return of +79.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2018 | Feb 2019 | 20 | 26.9% | +45.2% | +456.5% |
| Mar 2020 | May 2020 | 10 | 39.8% | +148.6% | +364.8% |
| Apr 2022 | Apr 2022 | 1 | 0.8% | +40.6% | +173.2% |
| Jun 2022 | Jun 2022 | 1 | 0.8% | +63.7% | +167.5% |
| Sep 2022 | Nov 2022 | 10 | 8.2% | +58.9% | +166.1% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 1 | 0.6% | +117.6% | +145.3% |
| Average | 7 | — | +79.1% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IBP below its 200-week moving average?
No. Installed Building Products, Inc. (IBP) is currently 2.8% above its 200-week moving average of $192.23. It would need to fall to $192.23 to cross below the line.
What is IBP's 200-week moving average price?
Installed Building Products, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $192.23 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when IBP drops below its 200-week moving average?
IBP has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +79.1%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 7 weeks on average.
Is IBP a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about IBP as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 46. Free cash flow yield is 5.5%. Return on equity is 38.5%. Price-to-book is 8.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does IBP compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 11.8 years, $100 invested in IBP would have grown to $1216, compared to $464 for the S&P 500. That's 23.7% annualized vs 13.9% for the index. IBP has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does IBP pay a dividend?
Yes. Installed Building Products, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 79.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18