IBN

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NO
21.2% ABOVE
↑ Moving away Was 14.2% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $25.72
14-Week RSI 56

ICICI Bank Limited (IBN) closed at $31.18 as of 2026-02-02, trading 21.2% above its 200-week moving average of $25.72. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 14.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 56, indicating neutral momentum.

Over the past 1301 weeks of data, IBN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 16 times. On average, these episodes lasted 22 weeks. Historically, investors who bought IBN at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +28.2%.

With a market cap of $111.5 billion, IBN is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 16.8%, a solid level. The stock trades at 5.8x book value.

Share count has increased 2.5% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 25 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in IBN would have grown to $3240, compared to $930 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 14.9% vs 9.3% for the index — confirming IBN as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.

Growth of $100: IBN vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After IBN Crosses Below the Line?

Across 16 historical episodes, buying IBN when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +29.1% after 12 months (median +18.0%), compared to +15.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 75% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +41.5% vs +27.7% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment IBN crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

IBN has crossed below its 200-week MA 16 times with an average 1-year return of +28.2% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Mar 2001Jun 20026567.1%-17.7%+2816.2%
Jun 2002Jun 20035428.9%+6.7%+3344.0%
Jun 2008Sep 20096369.1%+7.6%+601.5%
Oct 2009Nov 200917.4%+69.7%+540.4%
Feb 2010Feb 201012.9%+30.4%+500.5%
Aug 2011Aug 201122.1%-2.2%+434.9%
Sep 2011Jan 20121827.5%+17.0%+464.5%
Apr 2012Jul 20121519.0%+26.9%+488.2%
Aug 2012Sep 201225.6%-18.7%+489.4%
Jun 2013Mar 20143732.5%+28.9%+396.5%
Nov 2015Jan 20176536.9%+0.9%+346.8%
Mar 2017Mar 201712.0%+25.3%+339.7%
Apr 2017Apr 201710.9%+13.7%+334.4%
Jun 2018Jul 201843.7%+56.8%+302.5%
Mar 2020Aug 20202224.9%+101.6%+302.1%
Sep 2020Sep 202013.5%+104.1%+235.9%
Average22+28.2%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02