HZO
MarineMax, Inc. Consumer Cyclical - Specialty Retail Investor Relations →
MarineMax, Inc. (HZO) closed at $24.71 as of 2026-03-20, trading 18.0% below its 200-week moving average of $30.13. This places HZO in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -15.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 49, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 14 weeks, up-weeks have carried more volume than down-weeks (1.55 buyers-vs-sellers ratio). When trading picks up, it's more often on days the price is rising — buyers are showing more interest than sellers.
Over the past 1402 weeks of data, HZO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 35 times. On average, these episodes lasted 19 weeks. Historically, investors who bought HZO at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +28.4%.
With a market cap of $544 million, HZO is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 27.3%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at -5.9%. The stock trades at 0.6x book value.
This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 26.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in HZO would have grown to $215, compared to $800 for the S&P 500. HZO has returned 2.9% annualized vs 8.0% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: HZO vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After HZO Crosses Below the Line?
Across 35 historical episodes, buying HZO when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +24.0% after 12 months (median +10.0%), compared to +16.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 57% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +49.7% vs +31.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment HZO crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
HZO has crossed below its 200-week MA 35 times with an average 1-year return of +28.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1999 | Jan 2000 | 22 | 16.2% | -17.3% | +163.6% |
| Feb 2000 | Jun 2001 | 68 | 46.0% | -14.8% | +158.4% |
| Jun 2001 | Jan 2002 | 28 | 28.6% | +44.0% | +174.9% |
| Sep 2002 | Oct 2002 | 4 | 20.4% | +55.5% | +164.3% |
| Feb 2003 | Feb 2003 | 1 | 1.8% | +141.8% | +162.0% |
| Mar 2003 | Mar 2003 | 3 | 5.2% | +171.7% | +161.8% |
| Jul 2006 | Sep 2006 | 9 | 11.8% | -6.9% | +12.4% |
| Jan 2007 | Mar 2011 | 219 | 93.7% | -41.9% | +8.2% |
| May 2011 | Jun 2011 | 5 | 7.6% | +10.4% | +189.7% |
| Aug 2011 | Jan 2012 | 23 | 26.2% | -3.9% | +219.7% |
| Aug 2012 | Sep 2012 | 1 | 0.7% | +69.8% | +242.7% |
| Oct 2012 | Oct 2012 | 1 | 2.1% | +102.9% | +238.5% |
| Nov 2012 | Nov 2012 | 2 | 2.1% | +127.6% | +234.4% |
| Sep 2015 | Sep 2015 | 1 | 0.2% | +47.5% | +73.0% |
| Jan 2016 | Jan 2016 | 1 | 1.5% | +26.2% | +66.7% |
| Jun 2016 | Jun 2016 | 1 | 1.5% | +15.2% | +56.9% |
| Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | 2 | 8.9% | +30.4% | +58.4% |
| May 2017 | May 2017 | 1 | 1.2% | +29.4% | +36.9% |
| Jun 2017 | Jun 2017 | 1 | 1.2% | +32.0% | +36.1% |
| Jul 2017 | Oct 2017 | 15 | 21.0% | +43.3% | +68.7% |
| Jan 2018 | Jan 2018 | 1 | 1.5% | +4.0% | +32.8% |
| Apr 2018 | Apr 2018 | 3 | 7.6% | +5.9% | +33.6% |
| Jun 2018 | Jul 2018 | 1 | 2.9% | -13.2% | +30.4% |
| Jul 2018 | Aug 2018 | 3 | 3.3% | -18.5% | +30.7% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 1 | 4.2% | -7.3% | +30.9% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 4 | 14.2% | -14.4% | +26.7% |
| Jan 2019 | Apr 2019 | 10 | 7.6% | +18.9% | +34.3% |
| Apr 2019 | Jan 2020 | 39 | 26.3% | -16.3% | +49.5% |
| Feb 2020 | May 2020 | 13 | 57.6% | +163.7% | +46.0% |
| Sep 2022 | Nov 2022 | 8 | 12.7% | +5.5% | -18.8% |
| Nov 2022 | Jan 2023 | 7 | 5.8% | -7.9% | -24.1% |
| Jan 2023 | Feb 2023 | 3 | 8.1% | -8.1% | -19.0% |
| Mar 2023 | Jul 2023 | 18 | 21.0% | -2.9% | -20.4% |
| Aug 2023 | Dec 2023 | 17 | 24.0% | -7.3% | -25.8% |
| Jan 2024 | Ongoing | 116+ | 47.5% | Ongoing | -31.5% |
| Average | 19 | — | +28.4% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HZO below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, MarineMax, Inc. (HZO) is trading 18.0% below its 200-week moving average of $30.13. The current price is $24.71.
What is HZO's 200-week moving average price?
MarineMax, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $30.13 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when HZO drops below its 200-week moving average?
HZO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 35 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +28.4%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 19 weeks on average.
Is HZO a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about HZO as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 49. Free cash flow yield is 27.3%. Return on equity is -5.9%. Price-to-book is 0.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does HZO compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 26.9 years, $100 invested in HZO would have grown to $215, compared to $800 for the S&P 500. That's 2.9% annualized vs 8.0% for the index. HZO has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20