HWM
Howmet Aerospace Inc. Industrials - Aerospace & Defense Investor Relations →
Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) closed at $239.51 as of 2026-05-01, trading 133.6% above its 200-week moving average of $102.53. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 138.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 59, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.94 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 447 weeks of data, HWM has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times. On average, these episodes lasted 17 weeks. Historically, investors who bought HWM at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +29.8%.
With a market cap of $96.0 billion, HWM is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 1.0%. Return on equity stands at 30.4%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 18.0x book value.
Over the past 8.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in HWM would have grown to $1275, compared to $319 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 34.5% vs 14.5% for the index — confirming HWM as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 38.4% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: HWM vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After HWM Crosses Below the Line?
Across 6 historical episodes, buying HWM when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +41.5% after 12 months (median +72.0%), compared to +24.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 50% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +73.2% vs +26.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment HWM crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
HWM has crossed below its 200-week MA 6 times with an average 1-year return of +29.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2017 | Dec 2017 | 7 | 3.0% | -18.5% | +1213.1% |
| Feb 2018 | Feb 2018 | 1 | 1.5% | -30.0% | +1204.7% |
| Feb 2018 | Jun 2019 | 66 | 30.4% | -20.8% | +1245.6% |
| Mar 2020 | Aug 2020 | 24 | 43.8% | +100.5% | +1443.7% |
| Sep 2020 | Sep 2020 | 2 | 5.9% | +75.2% | +1272.5% |
| Oct 2020 | Nov 2020 | 1 | 3.1% | +72.2% | +1308.3% |
| Average | 17 | — | +29.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HWM below its 200-week moving average?
No. Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) is currently 133.6% above its 200-week moving average of $102.53. It would need to fall to $102.53 to cross below the line.
What is HWM's 200-week moving average price?
Howmet Aerospace Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $102.53 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when HWM drops below its 200-week moving average?
HWM has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +29.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 17 weeks on average.
Is HWM a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about HWM as of 2026-05-01: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 59. Free cash flow yield is 1.0%. Return on equity is 30.4%. Price-to-book is 18.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does HWM compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 8.6 years, $100 invested in HWM would have grown to $1275, compared to $319 for the S&P 500. That's 34.5% annualized vs 14.5% for the index. HWM has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does HWM pay a dividend?
Yes. Howmet Aerospace Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 20.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-01